Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Austin FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #20 |
| 46 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 11 |
| 62 | Scored | 43 |
| 61 | Conceded | 43 |
| +1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 38% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Portland Timbers get us underway at Providence Park.
- 5' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 6' GOAL! Felipe Mora fires home to make it 1-0!
- 11' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Chara is booked for Portland Timbers — card on 11.
- 12' Brilliant from the ! Franco Escobar makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 12.
- 17' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' What a moment for Antony! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
- 28' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 31' Houston Dynamo player sees a card in front of him.
- 34' Felipe Mora has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
- 39' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Portland Timbers side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' Jimer Fory picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 46' Fresh legs for Houston Dynamo! Erik Sviatchenko comes on to replace Daniel Steres.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' A moment of madness from Griffin Dorsey on 55 minutes earns him a card. Houston Dynamo will be frustrated.
- 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Obafemi Awodesu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
- 65' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' Portland Timbers are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' A goal from the Brazil international Antony! He fires home on 71 to make it 3-1!
- 73' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Kevin Kelsy on, Felipe Mora off on 73 minutes.
- 74' The Houston Dynamo manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Lodeiro departs to be replaced by Junior Urso.
- 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 80' Portland Timbers make a change. Antony trudges off to be replaced by Ariel Lassiter on 80 minutes.
- 81' Houston Dynamo ring the changes. Amine Bassi has done his job and it is now time for Andy Batioja to step up.
- 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 87' Jack McGlynn makes way for Ibrahim Aliyu at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
- 88' The crowd applauds Juan Mosquera as he leaves the pitch. Claudio Bravo steps in for Portland Timbers.
- Houston Dynamo will have plenty to reflect on. Portland Timbers were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 41
- 4
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 73'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Julio Ortiz 80'
- 10
-
11
Antony ↓ Ariel Lassiter 80'
- 30
- 20
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Claudio Bravo 88'
-
27
Jimer Fory ↓ Ian Smith 73'
Bench
- 17
-
5
Claudio Bravo ↑ 88'
- 13
- 16
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 80'
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 73'
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↑ 80'
-
23
Ian Smith ↑ 73'
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Andy Batioja 81'
- 5
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Junior Urso 74'
- 10
- 6
- 2
- 25
- 27
-
21
Jack McGlynn ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 87'
- 24
- 26
Bench
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↑ 46'
-
30
Junior Urso ↑ 74'
- 16
- 23
- 35
- 17
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 87'
-
37
Andy Batioja ↑ 81'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 4 |
| Mauro Manotas | 3 |
| Franco Escobar | 2 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 2 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Brian Fernandez | 2 |
| Santiago Moreno | 2 |
| Diego Valeri | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-03-30
Portland Timbers
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-03-23
Colorado Rapids SC
0–3
Portland Timbers
W
2025-03-16
Portland Timbers
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2025-03-09
Nashville SC
2–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–0
Austin FC
W
2025-02-23
Portland Timbers
1–4
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 74% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
69%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
57%
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portland Timbers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.