Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Portland Timbers

3 – 1

Full Time

Houston Dynamo

Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 23:00 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Diego Chara 11' Y

Y 31' Daniel Steres

Felipe Mora 34' Y

Jimer Fory 43' Y

Y 55' Griffin Dorsey

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 17 games · Avg 3.1 goals Houston Dynamo

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo 2024-06-02 Portland Timbers 2–2 Houston Dynamo 2024-03-17 Houston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers 2023-10-22 Portland Timbers 1–3 Houston Dynamo 2023-08-21 Houston Dynamo 5–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Houston Dynamo	H	3–1	W
23 Mar	Colorado Rapids SC	A	3–0	W
16 Mar	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	1–1	D
09 Mar	Nashville SC	A	0–2	L
02 Mar	Austin FC	H	1–0	W
23 Feb	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	H	1–4	L

Houston Dynamo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Mar	Portland Timbers	A	1–3	L
23 Mar	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–0	D
16 Mar	Real Salt Lake	H	1–2	L
08 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	A	0–0	D
03 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–4	L
23 Feb	FC Dallas	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		Houston Dynamo
#26	Position	#20
32	Points	44
27	Played	27
9 / 5 / 13	W / D / L	13 / 5 / 9
48	Scored	34
51	Conceded	32
-3	GD	+2
1.19	PPG	1.63
33%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

41% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Houston Dynamo

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

7/4

46-60

5/3

61-75

5/3

76+

3/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme

14 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Portland Timbers launch into their encounter with Houston Dynamo.
5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
6' GOAL! Felipe Mora scores on 6. Assisted by Santiago Moreno
11' Portland Timbers player sees a card in front of him.
12' Franco Escobar does the damage! The net is bulging and Houston Dynamo surge ahead!
17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
22' Portland Timbers have won 475 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
23' Antony puts Portland Timbers on the lead.
28' The 22-year-old Finn Surman has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
31' Daniel Steres catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 31.
34' Felipe Mora was booked on 34.
39' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their trying to find a way past Houston Dynamo's compact .
43' It’s a booking for Portland Timbers player. Jimer Fory gets a card.
46' It is a substitution in Houston Dynamo team. Daniel Steres is replaced by Erik Sviatchenko on 46 minute.
51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Portland Timbers needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
55' Griffin Dorsey is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
60' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portland Timbers must find a spark to ignite this game.
65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Houston Dynamo winning 100% of all matches.
70' David Pereira da Costa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
71' Goal! Antony scores his 26 goal in 377 matches.
73' Kevin Kelsy gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Felipe Mora and will look to change the dynamic.
74' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Nicolas Lodeiro exits the field as Junior Urso enters on 74.
79' With 1 assists to his name this season, Ezequiel Ponce is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
80' Portland Timbers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ariel Lassiter is hanging Antony on the field on 80 minute.
81' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Amine Bassi is replaced by Andy Batioja.
86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Juan Mosquera, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
87' Ibrahim Aliyu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jack McGlynn on 87 minute.
88' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Juan Mosquera is withdrawn and Claudio Bravo gets his opportunity.
With this win, Portland Timbers is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

17
Cristhian Paredes
5
Claudio Bravo ↑ 88'
13
Dario Zuparic
16
Maxime Crepeau
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 80'
18
Zac McGraw
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 73'
80
Julio Ortiz ↑ 80'
23
Ian Smith ↑ 73'

Houston Dynamo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Felipe Mora	4
Mauro Manotas	3
Mauro Manotas	2
Alejandro Fuenmayor	2
Brian Fernandez	2
Santiago Moreno	2
Diego Valeri	2
Griffin Dorsey	2

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo W 2025-03-23 Colorado Rapids SC 0–3 Portland Timbers W 2025-03-16 Portland Timbers 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy D 2025-03-09 Nashville SC 2–0 Portland Timbers L 2025-03-02 Portland Timbers 1–0 Austin FC W 2025-02-23 Portland Timbers 1–4 Vancouver Whitecaps FC L

Houston Dynamo Form

2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo L 2025-03-23 Seattle Sounders FC 0–0 Houston Dynamo D 2025-03-16 Houston Dynamo 1–2 Real Salt Lake L 2025-03-08 Columbus Crew SC 0–0 Houston Dynamo D 2025-03-03 Houston Dynamo 1–4 Internacional CF Miami L 2025-02-23 Houston Dynamo 1–2 FC Dallas L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.46 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 Houston Dynamo xG

I would bet for: Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers42% Draw26% Houston Dynamo32%

Actual: Portland Timbers win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

68%

Draw or Houston Dynamo

58%

Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers27% Draw45% Houston Dynamo28%

Actual: Portland Timbers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.4%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

8.1%

0 – 0

7.2%

0 – 1

1 – 0

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 0

5.7%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	Houston Dynamo covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	19%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	19%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.