Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 14 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Austin FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #22 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 1 / 6 |
| 22 | Scored | 19 |
| 28 | Conceded | 23 |
| -6 | GD | -4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 29% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). Houston Dynamo are 22nd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Portland Timbers host Houston Dynamo — let the battle begin!
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 6' Felipe Mora doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 11' A moment of madness from Diego Chara on 11 minutes earns him a card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
- 12' What an equalizer from Franco Escobar!
- 17' The 26-year-old Santiago Moreno has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 22' It looks surprising Portland Timbers does not make any changes. Kamal Miller has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 23' What a strike from Antony! The score is 2-1.
- 28' Portland Timbers are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Houston Dynamo's shape.
- 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Daniel Steres on 31 minutes.
- 34' Felipe Mora picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 43' Controversy at the stadium! Jimer Fory argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Erik Sviatchenko on, Daniel Steres off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 55' Griffin Dorsey was booked on 55.
- 60' The travelling Houston Dynamo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 65' Colombia international Diego Chara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 71' The deadlock is broken! Antony gets on the scoresheet on 71 minutes.
- 73' Portland Timbers make a change. Felipe Mora trudges off to be replaced by Kevin Kelsy on 73 minutes.
- 74' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Nicolas Lodeiro is withdrawn and Junior Urso gets his opportunity.
- 79' Over 79 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 80' The crowd applauds Antony as he leaves the pitch. Ariel Lassiter steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 81' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 81 minute. Amine Bassi leaves to be changed by Andy Batioja.
- 86' Jack McGlynn, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 87' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Jack McGlynn is withdrawn and Ibrahim Aliyu gets his opportunity.
- 88' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Claudio Bravo on, Juan Mosquera off on 88 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo share the spoils 3-1.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 41
- 4
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 73'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Julio Ortiz 80'
- 10
-
11
Antony ↓ Ariel Lassiter 80'
- 30
- 20
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Claudio Bravo 88'
-
27
Jimer Fory ↓ Ian Smith 73'
Bench
- 17
-
5
Claudio Bravo ↑ 88'
- 13
- 16
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 80'
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 73'
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↑ 80'
-
23
Ian Smith ↑ 73'
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Andy Batioja 81'
- 5
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Junior Urso 74'
- 10
- 6
- 2
- 25
- 27
-
21
Jack McGlynn ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 87'
- 24
- 26
Bench
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↑ 46'
-
30
Junior Urso ↑ 74'
- 16
- 23
- 35
- 17
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 87'
-
37
Andy Batioja ↑ 81'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 4 |
| Mauro Manotas | 3 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 2 |
| Brian Fernandez | 2 |
| Santiago Moreno | 2 |
| Diego Valeri | 2 |
| Griffin Dorsey | 2 |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-03-30
Portland Timbers
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-03-23
Colorado Rapids SC
0–3
Portland Timbers
W
2025-03-16
Portland Timbers
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2025-03-09
Nashville SC
2–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–0
Austin FC
W
2025-02-23
Portland Timbers
1–4
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 75% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
68%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
57%
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portland Timbers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

