Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Mar | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Mar | Nashville SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Austin FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Portland Timbers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #19 |
| 24 | Points | 32 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 6 |
| 33 | Scored | 27 |
| 33 | Conceded | 24 |
| +0 | GD | +3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
4/5
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/–
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 8 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Portland Timbers have kicked off against Houston Dynamo. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Obafemi Awodesu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
- 6' GOAL! Felipe Mora fires home to make it 1-0!
- 11' That looks like a foul for a card for Diego Chara.
- 12' The deadlock is broken! Franco Escobar gets on the scoresheet on 12 minutes.
- 17' Claudio Bravo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 42 Yellow cards this season.
- 22' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 23' Assisted by Felipe Mora with the perfectly-timed delivery and Antony makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 28' It looks like no one’s ball. Portland Timbers is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 31' The referee shows Houston Dynamo player a card on 31.
- 34' A moment of madness from Felipe Mora on 34 minutes earns him a card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
- 39' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 43' It’s a booking for Portland Timbers player. Jimer Fory gets a card.
- 46' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Daniel Steres exits the field as Erik Sviatchenko enters on 46.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Griffin Dorsey.
- 60' Portland Timbers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 65' Portland Timbers have won 469 goals from 291 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 71' Antony makes no mistake. The score reads 3-1 and Portland Timbers are in front.
- 73' The Portland Timbers manager makes a substitution. Felipe Mora departs to be replaced by Kevin Kelsy.
- 74' Houston Dynamo make a change. Nicolas Lodeiro trudges off to be replaced by Junior Urso on 74 minutes.
- 79' The 25-year-old David Pereira da Costa has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 5 assists is a remarkable return.
- 80' Ariel Lassiter is ready to make an impact after coming on for Antony at the 80 minute mark.
- 81' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Amine Bassi is withdrawn and Andy Batioja gets his opportunity.
- 86' The travelling Houston Dynamo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 87' Houston Dynamo make a change. Jack McGlynn trudges off to be replaced by Ibrahim Aliyu on 87 minutes.
- 88' The Portland Timbers manager makes a substitution. Juan Mosquera departs to be replaced by Claudio Bravo.
- With this win, Portland Timbers is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 41
- 4
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 73'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Julio Ortiz 80'
- 10
-
11
Antony ↓ Ariel Lassiter 80'
- 30
- 20
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Claudio Bravo 88'
-
27
Jimer Fory ↓ Ian Smith 73'
Bench
- 17
-
5
Claudio Bravo ↑ 88'
- 13
- 16
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 80'
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 73'
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↑ 80'
-
23
Ian Smith ↑ 73'
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Andy Batioja 81'
- 5
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Junior Urso 74'
- 10
- 6
- 2
- 25
- 27
-
21
Jack McGlynn ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 87'
- 24
- 26
Bench
-
28
Erik Sviatchenko ↑ 46'
-
30
Junior Urso ↑ 74'
- 16
- 23
- 35
- 17
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 87'
-
37
Andy Batioja ↑ 81'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 4 |
| Mauro Manotas | 3 |
| Antony | 2 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 2 |
| Mauro Manotas | 2 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 2 |
| Brian Fernandez | 2 |
| Santiago Moreno | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-03-30
Portland Timbers
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-03-23
Colorado Rapids SC
0–3
Portland Timbers
W
2025-03-16
Portland Timbers
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2025-03-09
Nashville SC
2–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-03-02
Portland Timbers
1–0
Austin FC
W
2025-02-23
Portland Timbers
1–4
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 75% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Portland Timbers win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
67%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
58%
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Portland Timbers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 0
5.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

