Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | Austin FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #20 |
| 32 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 48 | Scored | 34 |
| 51 | Conceded | 32 |
| -3 | GD | +2 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 33% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo has kicked off!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Houston Dynamo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 11' What composure from Griffin Dorsey! The USA international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Corey Baird, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 21' Portland Timbers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' Portland Timbers have won 475 goals from 295 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 36' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Micael is booked for Houston Dynamo — card on 41.
- 42' Franco Escobar picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Adalberto Carrasquilla is booked for Houston Dynamo — card on 45.
- 48' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Adalberto Carrasquilla makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felipe Mora suffering a number of foals already.
- 59' Sebastian Blanco has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristhian Paredes on 59 minute.
- 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 66' The referee calls foul for Diego Chara. He receives a card.
- 67' Hector Herrera picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 70' Ibrahim Aliyu gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Corey Baird and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Assisted by Adalberto Carrasquilla with the perfectly-timed delivery and Griffin Dorsey makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 74' Portland Timbers player sees a card in front of him.
- 79' Houston Dynamo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 80' Against the run of play, Felipe Mora has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 81' The whistle greets Juan Mosquera as he departs to be replaced by Franck Boli.
- 82' Portland Timbers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Antony is hanging Claudio Bravo on the field on 82 minute.
- 84' Luis Caicedo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amine Bassi on 84 minute.
- 89' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 90' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Adalberto Carrasquilla is withdrawn and Daniel Steres gets his opportunity.
- 1-3 the final result. Portland Timbers will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Dairon Asprilla 59'
- 1
- 21
- 22
-
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Antony 82'
- 13
- 9
- 18
- 30
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Franck Boli 81'
Bench
- 6
- 33
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 59'
-
10
Sebastian Blanco ↑ 59'
- 2
- 15
-
7
Franck Boli ↑ 81'
- 26
-
80
Antony ↑ 82'
Coach
Charles Burdick
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Luis Caicedo 84'
- 16
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 70'
- 12
- 20
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 25
- 31
-
21
Nelson Quinones ↓ Brad Smith 84'
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 90'
- 13
-
27
Luis Caicedo ↑ 84'
-
3
Brad Smith ↑ 84'
- 17
- 7
- 32
- 34
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 70'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 4 |
| Mauro Manotas | 3 |
| Griffin Dorsey | 2 |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 2 |
| Cristhian Paredes | 2 |
| Franco Escobar | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-10-07
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
Portland Timbers
L
2023-10-01
Los Angeles Galaxy
3–3
Portland Timbers
D
2023-09-24
Portland Timbers
3–2
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-09-21
Portland Timbers
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2023-09-18
Austin FC
1–2
Portland Timbers
W
Houston Dynamo Form
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-10-08
Houston Dynamo
5–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-10-04
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2023-10-01
Houston Dynamo
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2023-09-24
Sporting Kansas City
2–1
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-09-21
Houston Dynamo
4–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 73% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
60%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
67%
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 20% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

