Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | Austin FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #20 |
| 46 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 11 |
| 62 | Scored | 43 |
| 61 | Conceded | 43 |
| +1 | GD | +0 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 38% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Providence Park. Portland Timbers are looking to make home advantage count against Houston Dynamo.
- 5' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Amine Bassi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 11' A goal from the USA international Griffin Dorsey! He fires home on 11 to make it 0-1!
- 16' Paraguay international Cristhian Paredes has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 21' Houston Dynamo looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Agustin Bouzat scoring 1 goals.
- 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Houston Dynamo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Houston Dynamo winning 50% of all matches.
- 36' Claudio Bravo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 41' Micael is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 42' Franco Escobar catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 42.
- 45' Adalberto Carrasquilla picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' A goal from the Panama international Adalberto Carrasquilla! He fires home on 48 to make it 0-2!
- 53' The travelling Houston Dynamo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 58' The 33-year-old Felipe Mora has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 59' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Cristhian Paredes has done his job and it is now time for Sebastian Blanco to step up.
- 64' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 66' The referee has no hesitation. Diego Chara is booked for Portland Timbers — card on 66.
- 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Hector Herrera on 67 minutes.
- 70' Houston Dynamo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ibrahim Aliyu is hanging Corey Baird on the field on 70 minute.
- 72' What a moment for Griffin Dorsey! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 74' Zac McGraw has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
- 79' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 80' Felipe Mora does the damage! The net is bulging and Portland Timbers surge ahead!
- 81' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. Juan Mosquera is replaced by Franck Boli on 81 minute.
- 82' Another change for Portland Timbers made on 82 minute. Claudio Bravo leaves to be changed by Antony.
- 84' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 84 minute. Amine Bassi leaves to be changed by Luis Caicedo.
- 89' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Steve Clark suffering a number of foals already.
- 90' The crowd applauds Adalberto Carrasquilla as he leaves the pitch. Daniel Steres steps in for Houston Dynamo.
- Portland Timbers will have plenty to reflect on. Houston Dynamo were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Dairon Asprilla 59'
- 1
- 21
- 22
-
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Antony 82'
- 13
- 9
- 18
- 30
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Franck Boli 81'
Bench
- 6
- 33
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 59'
-
10
Sebastian Blanco ↑ 59'
- 2
- 15
-
7
Franck Boli ↑ 81'
- 26
-
80
Antony ↑ 82'
Coach
Charles Burdick
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Luis Caicedo 84'
- 16
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 70'
- 12
- 20
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 25
- 31
-
21
Nelson Quinones ↓ Brad Smith 84'
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 90'
- 13
-
27
Luis Caicedo ↑ 84'
-
3
Brad Smith ↑ 84'
- 17
- 7
- 32
- 34
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 70'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 4 |
| Mauro Manotas | 3 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
| Griffin Dorsey | 2 |
| Fafa Picault | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 2 |
| Mauro Manotas | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-10-07
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
Portland Timbers
L
2023-10-01
Los Angeles Galaxy
3–3
Portland Timbers
D
2023-09-24
Portland Timbers
3–2
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-09-21
Portland Timbers
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2023-09-18
Austin FC
1–2
Portland Timbers
W
Houston Dynamo Form
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-10-08
Houston Dynamo
5–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-10-04
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2023-10-01
Houston Dynamo
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2023-09-24
Sporting Kansas City
2–1
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-09-21
Houston Dynamo
4–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 73% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
62%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
65%
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 17% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

