Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | Austin FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | Portland Timbers | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #19 |
| 24 | Points | 32 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 6 |
| 33 | Scored | 27 |
| 33 | Conceded | 24 |
| +0 | GD | +3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
4/5
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/–
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 8 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Providence Park will turn into a battlefield for Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo.
- 5' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' The travelling Houston Dynamo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 11' Griffin Dorsey puts Houston Dynamo on the lead.
- 16' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 21' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 31' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Houston Dynamo's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Artur suffering a number of foals already.
- 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Micael.
- 42' Franco Escobar has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 42.
- 45' The referee shows Houston Dynamo player a card on 45.
- 48' Adalberto Carrasquilla adds to his 0 season tally! Houston Dynamo lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 59' Sebastian Blanco has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cristhian Paredes on 59 minute.
- 64' Houston Dynamo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 66' Diego Chara picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Hector Herrera is booked for Houston Dynamo — card on 67.
- 70' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Corey Baird is withdrawn and Ibrahim Aliyu gets his opportunity.
- 72' Magnificent from Griffin Dorsey! That is 14 goals in 284 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 74' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Zac McGraw.
- 79' Nelson Quinones is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Houston Dynamo so far.
- 80' Felipe Mora makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Portland Timbers are in front.
- 81' Time for substitution for Portland Timbers. Juan Mosquera is replaced by Franck Boli.
- 82' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Claudio Bravo has done his job and it is now time for Antony to step up.
- 84' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Amine Bassi exits the field as Luis Caicedo enters on 84.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hector Herrera, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 90' It is a substitution in Houston Dynamo team. Adalberto Carrasquilla is replaced by Daniel Steres on 90 minute.
- Portland Timbers will have plenty to reflect on. Houston Dynamo were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 20
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Dairon Asprilla 59'
- 1
- 21
- 22
-
5
Claudio Bravo ↓ Antony 82'
- 13
- 9
- 18
- 30
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Franck Boli 81'
Bench
- 6
- 33
-
27
Dairon Asprilla ↑ 59'
-
10
Sebastian Blanco ↑ 59'
- 2
- 15
-
7
Franck Boli ↑ 81'
- 26
-
80
Antony ↑ 82'
Coach
Charles Burdick
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
8
Amine Bassi ↓ Luis Caicedo 84'
- 16
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Ibrahim Aliyu 70'
- 12
- 20
- 6
- 2
- 28
- 25
- 31
-
21
Nelson Quinones ↓ Brad Smith 84'
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 90'
- 13
-
27
Luis Caicedo ↑ 84'
-
3
Brad Smith ↑ 84'
- 17
- 7
- 32
- 34
-
18
Ibrahim Aliyu ↑ 70'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 4 |
| Mauro Manotas | 3 |
| Mauro Manotas | 2 |
| Alejandro Fuenmayor | 2 |
| Brian Fernandez | 2 |
| Santiago Moreno | 2 |
| Diego Valeri | 2 |
| Griffin Dorsey | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-10-07
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
Portland Timbers
L
2023-10-01
Los Angeles Galaxy
3–3
Portland Timbers
D
2023-09-24
Portland Timbers
3–2
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-09-21
Portland Timbers
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2023-09-18
Austin FC
1–2
Portland Timbers
W
Houston Dynamo Form
2023-10-22
Portland Timbers
1–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2023-10-08
Houston Dynamo
5–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2023-10-04
Montreal Impact FC
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2023-10-01
Houston Dynamo
0–0
FC Dallas
D
2023-09-24
Sporting Kansas City
2–1
Houston Dynamo
L
2023-09-21
Houston Dynamo
4–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
60%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
66%
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.