Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 14 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- Real Salt Lake 14 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | St. Louis City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | San Diego FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #18 |
| 22 | Points | 26 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 7 / 1 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 4 |
| 19 | Scored | 26 |
| 23 | Conceded | 19 |
| -4 | GD | +7 |
| 1.57 | PPG | 1.86 |
| 50% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
Houston Dynamo are 22nd (22 pts). Real Salt Lake are 18th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Salt Lake
0-15
4/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Houston Dynamo welcome Real Salt Lake for this crunch clash at Shell Energy Stadium.
- 1' Magnificent from Diogo Goncalves! That is 18 goals in 372 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 6' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 11' Houston Dynamo are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Real Salt Lake's shape.
- 16' A goal from the Argentina international Ezequiel Ponce! He fires home on 16 to make it 1-1!
- 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Forster Ajago, as he is very good at scoring at Shell Energy Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 26' Real Salt Lake fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' It is a cagey affair so far. Houston Dynamo in their trying to find a way past Real Salt Lake's compact .
- 36' Ariath Piol, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 37' Jimmy Maurer is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andrew Tarbell at the 37 minute mark.
- 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Houston Dynamo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' The referee shows Houston Dynamo player a card on 45.
- 50' GOAL! Diego Luna fires home to make it 1-2!
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Amine Bassi suffering a number of foals already.
- 57' Real Salt Lake ring the changes. Dominik Marczuk has done his job and it is now time for Tyler Wolff to step up.
- 58' It’s a booking for Houston Dynamo player. Ethan Bartlow gets a card.
- 63' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 68' A change in the Real Salt Lake ranks — Braian Ojeda exits the field as Nelson Palacio enters on 68.
- 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' Erik Duenas is replacing Nicolas Lodeiro for the Houston Dynamo side.
- 79' Another change for Real Salt Lake made on 79 minute. Diego Luna leaves to be changed by Pablo Ruiz.
- 81' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Franco Escobar exits the field as Daniel Steres enters on 81.
- 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Real Salt Lake winning 0% of all matches.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ezequiel Ponce on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
13
Andrew Tarbell ↓ Jimmy Maurer 37'
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Erik Duenas 75'
- 10
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Daniel Steres 81'
- 25
- 27
- 4
- 21
- 24
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 81'
-
1
Jimmy Maurer ↑ 37'
- –
-
16
Erik Duenas ↑ 75'
- 23
- 35
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 81'
- 18
- 33
Coach
Ben Olsen
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 29
-
6
Braian Ojeda ↓ Nelson Palacio 68'
- 4
- 19
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Pablo Ruiz 79'
- 14
- 1
-
23
Ariath Piol ↓ Forster Ajago 68'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Tyler Wolff 57'
Bench
- 17
-
7
Pablo Ruiz ↑ 79'
- 98
- 31
-
16
Tyler Wolff ↑ 57'
- 91
- 26
-
13
Nelson Palacio ↑ 68'
-
27
Forster Ajago ↑ 68'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Albert Rusnak | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Zavier Gozo | 2 |
| Maximiliano Urruti | 2 |
| Justen Glad | 2 |
| Diego Luna | 2 |
| Anderson Julio | 1 |
| Albert Rusnak | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Real Salt Lake Form
2025-03-16
Houston Dynamo
1–2
Real Salt Lake
W
2025-03-09
Real Salt Lake
1–3
San Diego FC
L
2025-03-01
Real Salt Lake
2–0
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2025-02-23
San Jose Earthquakes
4–0
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2024-10-06
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69
Real Salt Lake xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake 73% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
60%
Draw or Real Salt Lake
67%
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Real Salt Lake covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 17% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

