Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Real Salt Lake 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | St. Louis City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | San Diego FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #27 |
| 44 | Points | 32 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 5 / 13 |
| 34 | Scored | 40 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| +2 | GD | -4 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 1.19 |
| 48% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts). Real Salt Lake are 27th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Salt Lake
0-15
5/6
16-30
4/5
31-45
5/5
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/7
76+
6/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Real Salt Lake
| Sergi Solans | 11 G | 3 A |
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Shell Energy Stadium that hosts another battle between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake.
- 1' Goal! Diogo Goncalves scores his 18 goal in 374 matches.
- 6' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 11' Rafael Cabral, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 16' What a strike from Ezequiel Ponce! The score is 1-1.
- 21' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sam Junqua made 283 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 31' Real Salt Lake are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 36' It looks surprising Real Salt Lake does not make any changes. Andrew Tarbell has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' Houston Dynamo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jimmy Maurer is hanging Andrew Tarbell on the field on 37 minute.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Houston Dynamo that had 283 games and scored 394 goals.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Franco Escobar.
- 50' Diego Luna puts Real Salt Lake on the lead.
- 55' Nelson Palacio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' It is a substitution in Real Salt Lake team. Dominik Marczuk is replaced by Tyler Wolff on 57 minute.
- 58' The referee calls foul for Ethan Bartlow. He receives a card.
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 68' Nelson Palacio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Braian Ojeda on 68 minute.
- 73' The 27-year-old Brayan Vera has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Nicolas Lodeiro exits the field as Erik Duenas enters on 75.
- 79' Fresh legs for Real Salt Lake! Pablo Ruiz comes on to replace Diego Luna.
- 81' Daniel Steres is replacing Franco Escobar for the Houston Dynamo side.
- 86' A quiet spell here at Shell Energy Stadium. Real Salt Lake seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ezequiel Ponce.
- Real Salt Lake celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
13
Andrew Tarbell ↓ Jimmy Maurer 37'
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Erik Duenas 75'
- 10
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Daniel Steres 81'
- 25
- 27
- 4
- 21
- 24
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 81'
-
1
Jimmy Maurer ↑ 37'
- –
-
16
Erik Duenas ↑ 75'
- 23
- 35
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 81'
- 18
- 33
Coach
Ben Olsen
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 29
-
6
Braian Ojeda ↓ Nelson Palacio 68'
- 4
- 19
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Pablo Ruiz 79'
- 14
- 1
-
23
Ariath Piol ↓ Forster Ajago 68'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Tyler Wolff 57'
Bench
- 17
-
7
Pablo Ruiz ↑ 79'
- 98
- 31
-
16
Tyler Wolff ↑ 57'
- 91
- 26
-
13
Nelson Palacio ↑ 68'
-
27
Forster Ajago ↑ 68'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Albert Rusnak | 2 |
| Diego Luna | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Zavier Gozo | 2 |
| Maximiliano Urruti | 2 |
| Justen Glad | 2 |
| Justin Meram | 1 |
| Braian Ojeda | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Real Salt Lake Form
2025-03-16
Houston Dynamo
1–2
Real Salt Lake
W
2025-03-09
Real Salt Lake
1–3
San Diego FC
L
2025-03-01
Real Salt Lake
2–0
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2025-02-23
San Jose Earthquakes
4–0
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2024-10-06
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Real Salt Lake xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
67%
Draw or Real Salt Lake
60%
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Real Salt Lake covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

