Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Real Salt Lake 17 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | St. Louis City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | San Diego FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #21 |
| 32 | Points | 27 |
| 18 | Played | 17 |
| 10 / 2 / 6 | W / D / L | 8 / 3 / 6 |
| 27 | Scored | 29 |
| 24 | Conceded | 25 |
| +3 | GD | +4 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 1.59 |
| 56% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts). Real Salt Lake are 21st (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Salt Lake
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/4
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Real Salt Lake
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
| Sergi Solans | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Shell Energy Stadium that hosts another battle between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake.
- 1' GOAL! Diogo Goncalves fires home to make it 0-1!
- 6' Nicolas Lodeiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 11' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 16' Goal! Ezequiel Ponce scores his 46 goal in 127 matches.
- 21' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 26' Ghana international Forster Ajago has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Real Salt Lake winning 0% of all matches.
- 36' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 37' Jimmy Maurer gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Andrew Tarbell and will look to change the dynamic.
- 42' Real Salt Lake fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Houston Dynamo receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 50' What a moment for Diego Luna! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' Real Salt Lake has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 57' A tactical swap from Real Salt Lake — Tyler Wolff on, Dominik Marczuk off on 57 minutes.
- 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ethan Bartlow.
- 63' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 68' Another substitution for Real Salt Lake to replace Braian Ojeda by Nelson Palacio on 68 minute.
- 73' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 75' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Nicolas Lodeiro is replaced by Erik Duenas.
- 79' Pablo Ruiz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Diego Luna at the 79 minute mark.
- 81' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Franco Escobar by Daniel Steres on 81 minute.
- 86' Sam Junqua is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Houston Dynamo tonight.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ezequiel Ponce on 90.
- 1-2 the final result. Houston Dynamo will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
13
Andrew Tarbell ↓ Jimmy Maurer 37'
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Erik Duenas 75'
- 10
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Daniel Steres 81'
- 25
- 27
- 4
- 21
- 24
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 81'
-
1
Jimmy Maurer ↑ 37'
- –
-
16
Erik Duenas ↑ 75'
- 23
- 35
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 81'
- 18
- 33
Coach
Ben Olsen
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 29
-
6
Braian Ojeda ↓ Nelson Palacio 68'
- 4
- 19
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Pablo Ruiz 79'
- 14
- 1
-
23
Ariath Piol ↓ Forster Ajago 68'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Tyler Wolff 57'
Bench
- 17
-
7
Pablo Ruiz ↑ 79'
- 98
- 31
-
16
Tyler Wolff ↑ 57'
- 91
- 26
-
13
Nelson Palacio ↑ 68'
-
27
Forster Ajago ↑ 68'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Albert Rusnak | 2 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Zavier Gozo | 2 |
| Maximiliano Urruti | 2 |
| Justen Glad | 2 |
| Diego Luna | 2 |
| Anderson Julio | 1 |
| Albert Rusnak | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Real Salt Lake Form
2025-03-16
Houston Dynamo
1–2
Real Salt Lake
W
2025-03-09
Real Salt Lake
1–3
San Diego FC
L
2025-03-01
Real Salt Lake
2–0
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2025-02-23
San Jose Earthquakes
4–0
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2024-10-06
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Real Salt Lake xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
65%
Draw or Real Salt Lake
62%
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Real Salt Lake covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.