Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- Real Salt Lake 34 games · 45 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Mar | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Feb | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | St. Louis City | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar | Houston Dynamo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | San Diego FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Oct | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #24 |
| 51 | Points | 45 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 13 / 6 / 15 |
| 43 | Scored | 53 |
| 43 | Conceded | 52 |
| +0 | GD | +1 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.32 |
| 41% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts). Real Salt Lake are 24th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Salt Lake
0-15
9/7
16-30
5/7
31-45
6/6
46-60
8/7
61-75
7/7
76+
8/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Real Salt Lake
| Sergi Solans | 15 G | 4 A |
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Shell Energy Stadium as Houston Dynamo face off against Real Salt Lake in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 1' A goal from the Portugal international Diogo Goncalves! He fires home on 1 to make it 0-1!
- 6' Real Salt Lake are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 11' Artur has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 16' GOAL! Ezequiel Ponce scores on 16. Assisted by Jack McGlynn
- 21' Real Salt Lake has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 2 meetings.
- 26' Emeka Eneli needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 31' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 36' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pablo Mastroeni will be considering his options from the bench.
- 37' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Jimmy Maurer on, Andrew Tarbell off on 37 minutes.
- 42' Real Salt Lake are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Franco Escobar. He receives a card.
- 50' A goal from the USA international Diego Luna! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-2!
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Houston Dynamo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 57' The Real Salt Lake manager makes a substitution. Dominik Marczuk departs to be replaced by Tyler Wolff.
- 58' That looks like a foul for a card for Ethan Bartlow.
- 63' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Salt Lake backline.
- 68' Real Salt Lake ring the changes. Braian Ojeda has done his job and it is now time for Nelson Palacio to step up.
- 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' Erik Duenas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicolas Lodeiro at the 75 minute mark.
- 79' Real Salt Lake ring the changes. Diego Luna has done his job and it is now time for Pablo Ruiz to step up.
- 81' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 81 minute. Franco Escobar leaves to be changed by Daniel Steres.
- 86' Jack McGlynn, a USA , has 12 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 90' The referee shows Houston Dynamo player a card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Salt Lake to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
13
Andrew Tarbell ↓ Jimmy Maurer 37'
-
20
Nicolas Lodeiro ↓ Erik Duenas 75'
- 10
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Daniel Steres 81'
- 25
- 27
- 4
- 21
- 24
Bench
-
5
Daniel Steres ↑ 81'
-
1
Jimmy Maurer ↑ 37'
- –
-
16
Erik Duenas ↑ 75'
- 23
- 35
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 81'
- 18
- 33
Coach
Ben Olsen
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 29
-
6
Braian Ojeda ↓ Nelson Palacio 68'
- 4
- 19
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Pablo Ruiz 79'
- 14
- 1
-
23
Ariath Piol ↓ Forster Ajago 68'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Tyler Wolff 57'
Bench
- 17
-
7
Pablo Ruiz ↑ 79'
- 98
- 31
-
16
Tyler Wolff ↑ 57'
- 91
- 26
-
13
Nelson Palacio ↑ 68'
-
27
Forster Ajago ↑ 68'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Zavier Gozo | 2 |
| Maximiliano Urruti | 2 |
| Justen Glad | 2 |
| Albert Rusnak | 2 |
| Diego Luna | 2 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Alberth Elis | 1 |
Head to Head
Houston Dynamo Form
Real Salt Lake Form
2025-03-16
Houston Dynamo
1–2
Real Salt Lake
W
2025-03-09
Real Salt Lake
1–3
San Diego FC
L
2025-03-01
Real Salt Lake
2–0
Seattle Sounders FC
W
2025-02-23
San Jose Earthquakes
4–0
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-10-20
Real Salt Lake
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2024-10-06
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Real Salt Lake
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
Real Salt Lake xG
I would bet for:
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
66%
Draw or Real Salt Lake
62%
Houston Dynamo or Real Salt Lake
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Real Salt Lake covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

