Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Orlando City SC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 04 May | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Apr | Seattle Sounders FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Real Salt Lake | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Atlanta United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Apr | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 3–2 | W |
| 04 May | FC Cincinnati | H | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Apr | Toronto FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | D.C. United SC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Mar | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #9 |
| 50 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 13 / 7 / 14 |
| 66 | Scored | 63 |
| 52 | Conceded | 78 |
| +14 | GD | -15 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 41% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
76%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). Orlando City SC are 9th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
5/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Subaru Park!
- 5' Orlando City SC have won 466 goals from 302 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' Quinn Sullivan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
- 12' Mikkel Uhre adds to his 0 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 17' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Orlando City SC backline.
- 21' A stunning finish from Duncan McGuire — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 31' It looks surprising Orlando City SC does not make any changes. Dagur THorhallsson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 36' Orlando City SC is showing some good football. However, Orlando City SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 41' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 42' Luis Muriel doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 45' It’s a booking for Orlando City SC player. Ivan Angulo gets a card.
- 46' Luis Muriel with the second goal in the match!
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Kai Wagner, a Germany defender, has 3 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 61' The whistle greets Martin Ojeda as he departs to be replaced by Dagur THorhallsson.
- 65' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Robin Jansson is withdrawn and Kyle Smith gets his opportunity.
- 66' Daniel Gazdag makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
- 71' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 71 minutes.
- 76' Orlando City SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Martin Ojeda scoring 2 goals.
- 80' Jose Martinez makes way for Chris Donovan at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
- 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Damion Lowe.
- 85' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felipe Martins is hanging Luis Muriel on the field on 85 minute.
- 87' Poor challenge from Cesar Araujo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Duncan McGuire will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Damion Lowe is withdrawn and Tai Baribo gets his opportunity.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 11
- 10
- 33
- 16
- 26
-
17
Damion Lowe ↓ Tai Baribo 90'
- 5
-
8
Jose Martinez ↓ Chris Donovan 80'
- 7
- 1
Bench
- 3
- 31
- 20
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 80'
-
28
Tai Baribo ↑ 90'
- 14
- 29
- 22
- 76
Coach
Jim Curtin
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Luis Muriel ↓ Felipe Martins 85'
- 11
- 14
- 1
- 16
-
6
Robin Jansson ↓ Kyle Smith 65'
- 77
- 10
- 5
- 4
- 13
Bench
-
8
Felipe Martins ↑ 85'
- 31
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 65'
- 30
- 27
- 28
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 61'
- 33
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Daniel Gazdag | 4 |
| Martin Ojeda | 4 |
| Milan Iloski | 3 |
| Kacper Przybylko | 3 |
| Dom Dwyer | 3 |
| Duncan McGuire | 3 |
| Andres Perea | 2 |
| Ivan Angulo | 2 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2024-05-11
Philadelphia Union
2–3
Orlando City SC
L
2024-05-04
D.C. United SC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-04-30
Philadelphia Union
2–3
Seattle Sounders FC
L
2024-04-27
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-04-14
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-04-07
Nashville SC
1–2
Philadelphia Union
W
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.62
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.03
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
69%
Draw or Orlando City SC
54%
Philadelphia Union or Orlando City SC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 3
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
2 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 18% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 14% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.