Sunday , 16 August 2026

Chile vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE

Copa America · 2024
Chile
0 – 2
Full Time
Paraguay
Fri 25 Jun 2021 · 00:00 UTC Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes HT 45' · FT 45'
Ben Brereton 45' Y
Gary Medel 56' Y
Claudio Bravo 58' Y
Y 78' Hector Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Chile vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.

  • Chile 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Paraguay 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Head-to-Head

1
Chile 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Paraguay
Last 5 meetings
2021-06-25 Chile 0–2 Paraguay

Recent Form

Chile
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Paraguay H 0–2 L
21 Jun Uruguay A 1–1 D
18 Jun Bolivia H 1–0 W
14 Jun Argentina A 1–1 D
06 Jul Argentina A 1–2 L
04 Jul Peru H 0–3 L
Paraguay
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jun Chile A 2–0 W
22 Jun Argentina A 0–1 L
15 Jun Bolivia H 3–1 W
28 Jun Brazil A 0–0 D
23 Jun Colombia A 0–1 L
20 Jun Argentina A 1–1 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Chile host Paraguay — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Paraguay that had 14 games and scored 13 goals.
  • 10' Carlos Gonzalez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chile tonight.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 30' Alberto Espinola needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 33' GOAL! Braian Samudio fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 38' Paraguay international Gaston Gimenez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' Ben Brereton picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Another change for Chile made on 46 minute. Tomas Alarcon leaves to be changed by Jean Meneses.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Claudio Bravo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' Gary Medel is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
  • 58' What a strike from Miguel Almiron! The score is 0-2.
  • 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Claudio Bravo on 58 minutes.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Angel Romero. He replaces Braian Samudio on 62 minute.
  • 67' Eduardo Vargas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 11 appearances.
  • 68' Another substitution for Chile to replace Cesar Pinares by Pablo Galdames on 68 minute.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Paraguay — Oscar Romero on, Carlos Gonzalez off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Hector Martinez is booked for Paraguay — card on 78.
  • 83' Ben Brereton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 84' Gaston Gimenez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Angel Lucena at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' It looks surprising Paraguay does not make any changes. Mauricio Isla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • Paraguay celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Chile Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Paraguay Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79 Chile xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Paraguay xG
I would bet for: Paraguay or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chile25% Draw31% Paraguay44%
Actual: Paraguay win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Chile or Draw
56%
Draw or Paraguay
75%
Chile or Paraguay
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chile16% Draw53% Paraguay31%
Actual: Paraguay win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15%
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Chile

Handicap Chile covers Push Paraguay covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 25% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Chile keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
46% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.