Chile vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Chile vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Paraguay are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' Ben Brereton has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Paraguay have won 13 goals from 14 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' Paraguay come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 33' GOAL! Braian Samudio fires home to make it 0-1!
- 38' Paraguay are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 43' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' Ben Brereton is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' Fresh legs for Chile! Jean Meneses comes on to replace Tomas Alarcon.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' Poor challenge from Gary Medel. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' Against the run of play, Miguel Almiron has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 58' Claudio Bravo is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 62' Angel Romero has so much to prove this time. He replaces Braian Samudio on 62 minute.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 68' A change in the Chile ranks — Cesar Pinares exits the field as Pablo Galdames enters on 68.
- 73' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 77' Oscar Romero is replacing Carlos Gonzalez for the Paraguay side.
- 78' Paraguay player sees a card in front of him.
- 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 84' The Paraguay bench stirs into life. Angel Lucena is withdrawn and Gaston Gimenez gets his opportunity.
- 89' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Paraguay players.
Lineups
Chile Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 8
- 6
-
17
Gary Medel ↓ Enzo Roco 68'
- 2
-
7
Cesar Pinares ↓ Pablo Galdames 68'
- 11
-
19
Tomas Alarcon ↓ Jean Meneses 46'
Bench
-
5
Enzo Roco ↑ 68'
- 12
-
14
Pablo Galdames ↑ 68'
- 18
-
9
Jean Meneses ↑ 46'
- 16
- 28
- 23
- 26
- 25
- 24
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 6
- 10
- 1
- 19
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↓ Oscar Romero 77'
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Angel Romero 62'
- 23
- 13
- 24
-
16
Angel Lucena ↓ Gaston Gimenez 84'
Bench
-
11
Angel Romero ↑ 62'
- 4
-
3
Omar Alderete ↑ 84'
-
5
Gaston Gimenez ↑ 84'
- 2
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 77'
- 8
- 17
- 22
-
20
Antonio Bareiro ↑ 77'
- 28
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79
Chile xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Paraguay or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paraguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Chile or Draw
56%
Draw or Paraguay
75%
Chile or Paraguay
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paraguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15%
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Chile
| Handicap | Chile covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Chile keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.