Chile vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Chile vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Chile is hosting Paraguay for another epic battle.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' It looks surprising Paraguay does not make any changes. Angel Romero has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Paraguay started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Chile seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Junior Alonso made 320 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' What a strike from Braian Samudio! The score is 0-1.
- 38' The travelling Paraguay supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 43' Eugenio Mena needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ben Brereton on 45.
- 46' Chile manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jean Meneses is hanging Tomas Alarcon on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Chile player sees a card in front of him.
- 58' What a strike from Miguel Almiron! The score is 0-2.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Claudio Bravo on 58.
- 62' The whistle greets Braian Samudio as he departs to be replaced by Angel Romero.
- 67' Chile is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 68' Time for substitution for Chile. Cesar Pinares is replaced by Pablo Galdames.
- 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Chile that had 11 games and scored 11 goals.
- 77' The Paraguay manager makes a substitution. Carlos Gonzalez departs to be replaced by Oscar Romero.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Hector Martinez.
- 83' It looks like no one’s ball. Chile is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 84' Another change for Paraguay made on 84 minute. Angel Lucena leaves to be changed by Gaston Gimenez.
- 89' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Chile needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
Chile Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 8
- 6
-
17
Gary Medel ↓ Enzo Roco 68'
- 2
-
7
Cesar Pinares ↓ Pablo Galdames 68'
- 11
-
19
Tomas Alarcon ↓ Jean Meneses 46'
Bench
-
5
Enzo Roco ↑ 68'
- 12
-
14
Pablo Galdames ↑ 68'
- 18
-
9
Jean Meneses ↑ 46'
- 16
- 28
- 23
- 26
- 25
- 24
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 6
- 10
- 1
- 19
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↓ Oscar Romero 77'
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Angel Romero 62'
- 23
- 13
- 24
-
16
Angel Lucena ↓ Gaston Gimenez 84'
Bench
-
11
Angel Romero ↑ 62'
- 4
-
3
Omar Alderete ↑ 84'
-
5
Gaston Gimenez ↑ 84'
- 2
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 77'
- 8
- 17
- 22
-
20
Antonio Bareiro ↑ 77'
- 28
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79
Chile xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Paraguay or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paraguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Chile or Draw
56%
Draw or Paraguay
75%
Chile or Paraguay
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paraguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15%
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Chile
| Handicap | Chile covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Chile keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.