Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Peru vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 QUARTER FINALS

Copa America · 2024
7 – 6
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Fri 2 Jul 2021 · 21:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Peru vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana .

  • Peru 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Paraguay 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Head-to-Head

1
Peru 1 games · Avg 13.0 goals Paraguay

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Paraguay H 7–6 W
27 Jun Venezuela A 1–0 W
23 Jun Ecuador A 2–2 D
21 Jun Colombia A 2–1 W
18 Jun Brazil A 0–4 L
07 Jul Brazil A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jul Peru A 6–7 L
29 Jun Uruguay A 0–1 L
25 Jun Chile A 2–0 W
22 Jun Argentina A 0–1 L
15 Jun Bolivia H 3–1 W
28 Jun Brazil A 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Peru host Paraguay — let the battle begin!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Peru side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Gustavo Gomez makes it 0-1.
  • 15' Controversy at the stadium! Anderson Santamaria argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 20' Paraguay fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 21' Goal! Gianluca Lapadula scores his 35 goal in 423 matches.
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Peru in their trying to find a way past Paraguay's compact .
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Braian Samudio is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paraguay.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 40' Gianluca Lapadula has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
  • 42' Poor challenge from Gustavo Gomez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gustavo Gomez on 45.
  • 46' The Paraguay manager makes a substitution. Angel Lucena departs to be replaced by Robert Rojas.
  • 51' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Peru and Paraguay are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 54' Junior Alonso adds to his 0 season tally! Paraguay lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 59' It looks surprising Peru does not make any changes. Pedro Gallese has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Christian Cueva on 60 minutes earns him a card. Peru will be frustrated.
  • 60' Sergio Pena makes way for Santiago Ormeno at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Peru.
  • 65' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Paraguay needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 68' Fresh legs for Paraguay! Braian Samudio comes on to replace Carlos Gonzalez.
  • 73' Peru are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 75' Poor challenge from Andre Carrillo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 80' What composure from Yoshimar Yotun! The Peru international strokes it home. 3-2.
  • 83' Another substitution for Paraguay to replace Santiago Arzamendia by Julio Enciso on 83 minute.
  • 85' Peru player sees a card in front of him.
  • 87' It’s a booking for Paraguay player. Alberto Espinola gets a card.
  • 90' The deadlock is broken! Gabriel Avalos gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Aldo Corzo makes way for Carlos Lora at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Peru.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Peru to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.53 Peru xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.01 Paraguay xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 95% + Both teams to score 91%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Peru51% Draw18% Paraguay31%
Actual: Peru win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes91% 0% No9%
Avg goals/match: 6.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 95%
5%
± 3.5 87%
13%
± 4.5 76%
24%

Double Chance

Peru or Draw
69%
Draw or Paraguay
49%
Peru or Paraguay
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Peru41% Draw28% Paraguay31%
Actual: Peru win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–6 not predicted
7 – 6
Actual
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
4 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
4.1%
3 – 4
3.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
4 – 4
3.1%
2 – 4
3.1%
5 – 2
3%
2 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Peru

Handicap Peru covers Push Paraguay covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 13% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 16% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 14% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 10% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Peru keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.