Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Real Madrid CF, Club World Cup 2025 SEMI FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Real Madrid CF — Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 games · 6 pts (2025/25)
- Real Madrid CF 3 games · 7 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Szymon Marciniak
13 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 5.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | Al Ahly SC | 3 | 2 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders FC | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Bayern München | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | CA Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Auckland City FC | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | CR Flamengo | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Chelsea FC | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Esperance de Tunis | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Internazionale Milano | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | CF Monterrey | 3 | 5 |
| 19 | CA River Plate | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Fluminense FC | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Ulsan HD FC | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Manchester City FC | 3 | 9 |
| 26 | Juventus FC | 3 | 6 |
| 27 | Al Ain FC | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | Wydad AC | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Real Madrid CF | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Al Hilal | 3 | 5 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 4 |
| 32 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | FC Bayern München | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Jun | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 Jul | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Jul | Juventus FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | CF Pachuca | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | Al Hilal | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Paris Saint-Germain FC | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #29 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 2 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 0 |
| 6 | Scored | 7 |
| 1 | Conceded | 2 |
| +5 | GD | +5 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Paris Saint-Germain FC are 5th (6 pts). Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Fabian Ruiz | 3 G | 1 A |
| Achraf Hakimi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ousmane Dembele | 2 G | 1 A |
| Joao Neves | 2 G | 1 A |
| Vitinha | 1 G | 2 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Gonzalo Garcia | 4 G | 1 A |
| Arda Guler | 2 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Paris Saint-Germain FC is hosting Real Madrid CF for another epic battle.
- 5' Lucas Vazquez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 6' Fabian Ruiz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
- 9' Against the run of play, Ousmane Dembele has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris Saint-Germain FC and Real Madrid CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 24' Magnificent from Fabian Ruiz! That is 35 goals in 508 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 28' The referee calls foul for Aurelien Tchouameni. He receives a card.
- 33' Desire Doue is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Paris Saint-Germain FC tonight.
- 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 43' It is a cagey affair so far. Paris Saint-Germain FC in their trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact .
- 45' Paris Saint-Germain FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 50' Vitinha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Enrique will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Goncalo Ramos. He replaces Ousmane Dembele on 59 minute.
- 64' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Vinicius Junior is replaced by Brahim Diaz on 64 minute.
- 66' The whistle greets Fabian Ruiz as he departs to be replaced by Warren Zaire-Emery.
- 71' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Gonzalo Garcia departs to be replaced by Dani Carvajal.
- 73' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Dani Carvajal will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 78 minutes.
- 79' Kang-in Lee gets the nod from Paris Saint-Germain FC. He replaces Nuno Mendes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Real Madrid CF make a change. Arda Guler trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Vazquez on 83 minutes.
- 87' Against the run of play, Goncalo Ramos has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 2
-
10
Ousmane Dembele ↓ Goncalo Ramos 59'
- 8
- 1
- 7
-
25
Nuno Mendes ↓ Kang-in Lee 79'
- 4
- 17
-
14
Desire Doue ↓ Senny Mayulu 66'
- 87
Bench
- 39
-
9
Goncalo Ramos ↑ 59'
- 80
-
29
Bradley Barcola ↑ 59'
-
33
Warren Zaire-Emery ↑ 66'
-
19
Kang-in Lee ↑ 79'
-
24
Senny Mayulu ↑ 66'
- 49
- 43
Coach
Luis Enrique
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 9
- 14
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Brahim Diaz 64'
- 1
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Luka Modric 64'
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Lucas Vazquez 83'
- 20
-
30
Gonzalo Garcia ↓ Dani Carvajal 71'
-
35
Raul ↓ Eder Militao 64'
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 64'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 64'
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 83'
- 19
-
2
Dani Carvajal ↑ 71'
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 64'
- 11
- 6
- 50
- 31
- 36
- 29
- 44
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 5 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 3 |
| Fabian Ruiz | 2 |
| Angel di Maria | 2 |
| Ousmane Dembele | 1 |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 |
| Thomas Meunier | 1 |
| Gareth Bale | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris Saint-Germain FC Form
2025-07-09
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–0
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-07-05
Paris Saint-Germain FC
2–0
FC Bayern München
W
2025-06-29
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–0
Internacional CF Miami
W
2025-06-23
Seattle Sounders FC
0–2
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
2025-06-20
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0–1
Botafogo FR
L
2025-06-15
Paris Saint-Germain FC
4–0
Club Atletico de Madrid
W
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81
Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
39%
Paris Saint-Germain FC or Real Madrid CF
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.6%
2 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
10.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
8%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Paris Saint-Germain FC
| Handicap | Paris Saint-Germain FC covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 9% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
52%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

