Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PFK Sochi vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 11:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–1 W
28 Sep FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 0–0 D
22 Sep PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–3 L
14 Sep PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
30 Aug FK Spartak Moskva A 1–2 L
24 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct PFK Sochi A 1–2 L
28 Sep FK Spartak Moskva A 0–3 L
20 Sep RFK Akhmat Grozny H 1–2 L
13 Sep FK Orenburg H 3–1 W
30 Aug FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
23 Aug FK Dinamo Moskva A 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and PFK Sochi launch into their encounter with FK Nizhny Novgorod.
  • PFK Sochi celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

FK Nizhny Novgorod Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 PFK Sochi xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFK Sochi49% Draw26% FK Nizhny Novgorod25%
Actual: PFK Sochi win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

PFK Sochi or Draw
74%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
51%
PFK Sochi or FK Nizhny Novgorod
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PFK Sochi33% Draw45% FK Nizhny Novgorod22%
Actual: PFK Sochi win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
7.7%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PFK Sochi

Handicap PFK Sochi covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.