Monday , 17 August 2026

Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad, Champions League Q 2024 ROUND 3

Tue 6 Aug 2024 · 16:00 UTC Tofig Bakhramov HT 45' · FT 45'
Julio Romao 11' Y
Juninho 41' Y
Y 45' Caio Vidal
YR 89' Caio Vidal
Y 90' Kwadwo Duah

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs PFK Ludogorets 1945 RazgradChampions League Q at Tofig Bakhramov.

Match Details

  • Referee Urs Schnyder
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 2–1 W
31 Jul FK Dynama-Minsk A 0–1 L
24 Jul FK Dynama-Minsk H 2–0 W
17 Jul FC Dinamo Batumi A 0–1 L
10 Jul FC Dinamo Batumi H 3–1 W
31 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Qarabağ Ağdam FK gets underway.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Son suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Tofig Bakhramov. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 11' The referee shows Qarabag Agdam FK player a card on 11.
  • 16' It looks surprising PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad does not make any changes. Rick has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 21' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 26' Qarabağ Ağdam FK currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Olivier Verdon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' Yassine Benzia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Qarabağ Ağdam FK so far.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Juninho. He receives a card.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Caio Vidal is booked for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad — card on 45.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hendrik Bonmann made 177 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' Qarabağ Ağdam FK are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad backline.
  • 56' What a strike from Dinis Almeida! The score is 0-1.
  • 61' Fresh legs for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad! Rick comes on to replace Bernhard Tekpetey.
  • 64' Goal! Juninho scores his 20 goal in 144 matches.
  • 67' The Qarabag Agdam FK bench stirs into life. Toral Bayramov is withdrawn and Elvin Cəfərquliyev gets his opportunity.
  • 72' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad that had 186 games and scored 140 goals.
  • 76' Another change for Qarabag Agdam FK made on 76 minute. Marko Vesovic leaves to be changed by Matheus Silva.
  • 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 82' Ivaylo Chochev has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jakub Piotrowski on 82 minute.
  • 87' Caio Vidal adds to his 0 season tally! PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' Caio Vidal has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kwadwo Duah is booked for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad — card on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Deroy Duarte as he leaves the pitch. Edvin Kurtulus steps in for PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad.
  • Qarabağ Ağdam FK will have plenty to reflect on. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad xG
I would bet for: Qarabag Agdam FK or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK32% Draw28% PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad40%
Actual: PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw
60%
Draw or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
68%
Qarabag Agdam FK or PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Qarabag Agdam FK25% Draw46% PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap Qarabag Agdam FK covers Push PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
24%
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.