Thursday , 2 July 2026

PAOK FC vs FK Spartak Moskva, 2018-19 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND

UEFA Champions League · 2018-19
Wed 8 Aug 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug FK Spartak Moskva H 3–2 W
01 Aug FC Basel 1893 A 3–0 W
24 Jul FC Basel 1893 H 2–1 W
06 May FC CFR 1907 Cluj A 1–4 L
28 Apr FK Spartak Moskva H 2–0 W
24 Apr KF Valur A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug PAOK FC A 2–3 L
04 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–0 D
28 Jul FK Orenburg H 1–0 W
06 May FC Barcelona H 1–1 D
28 Apr PAOK FC A 0–2 L
21 Apr Fenerbahce SK H 2–1 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 PAOK FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 FK Spartak Moskva xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
PAOK FC55% Draw25% FK Spartak Moskva20%
Actual: PAOK FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

PAOK FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FK Spartak Moskva
45%
PAOK FC or FK Spartak Moskva
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PAOK FC36% Draw47% FK Spartak Moskva17%
Actual: PAOK FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — PAOK FC

Handicap PAOK FC covers Push FK Spartak Moskva covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

PAOK FC keeps clean sheet
38%
FK Spartak Moskva keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.