Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,431 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ben Nelson 29' 1–0
Michal Helik 48' 2–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
21 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
18 Apr Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
09 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–3 L
05 Apr Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Oxford United FC A 0–2 L
21 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
18 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
12 Apr Swansea City AFC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Norwich City FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Oxford United FC get us underway at Kassam Stadium.
  • 5' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Sunderland AFC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 14' Tyler Goodrham has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 14.
  • 19' Sunderland AFC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oxford United FC and Sunderland AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 28' Poor challenge from Ruben Rodrigues. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 29' Goal! Ben Nelson scores his 2 goal in 235 matches.
  • 34' Mark Harris has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 18 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Regis Le Bris might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Chris Mepham on 43 minutes.
  • 48' The Poland Michal Helik breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-0!
  • 53' Over 53 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 58' Sunderland AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 63' Sunderland AFC is showing some good football. However, Sunderland AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Will Vaulks.
  • 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tyler Goodrham is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Tom Watson. He replaces Patrick Roberts on 70 minute.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Ruben Rodrigues is replaced by Alex Matos on 73 minute.
  • 78' England international Chris Rigg has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 79' Alan Browne is replacing Enzo Le Fee for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 84' It looks surprising Oxford United FC does not make any changes. Sam Long has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 88' Joe Bennett gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Mark Harris and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Oxford United FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC43% Draw29% Sunderland AFC28%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
57%
Oxford United FC or Sunderland AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC27% Draw51% Sunderland AFC22%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.