Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,431 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ben Nelson 29' 1–0
Michal Helik 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1 Adrian Holmes
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
21 Apr Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
18 Apr Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
12 Apr Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
09 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–3 L
05 Apr Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Oxford United FC A 0–2 L
21 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
18 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
12 Apr Swansea City AFC H 0–1 L
08 Apr Norwich City FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
18% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Oxford United FC welcome Sunderland AFC for this crunch clash at Kassam Stadium.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 14' Oxford United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 14.
  • 19' Sunderland AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 19.
  • 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oxford United FC and Sunderland AFC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 28' Controversy at the stadium! Ruben Rodrigues argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 29' The deadlock is broken! Ben Nelson gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
  • 34' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Sunderland AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' Sunderland AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 48' Michal Helik is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 53' Greg Leigh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 58' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 63' A quiet spell here at Kassam Stadium. Oxford United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 64' Will Vaulks picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 69' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Sunderland AFC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Sunderland AFC team. Patrick Roberts is replaced by Tom Watson on 70 minute.
  • 73' Another change for Oxford United FC made on 73 minute. Ruben Rodrigues leaves to be changed by Alex Matos.
  • 78' Will Vaulks has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Alan Browne. He replaces Enzo Le Fee on 79 minute.
  • 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Oxford United FC team. Mark Harris is replaced by Joe Bennett on 88 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Oxford United FC and Sunderland AFC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Oxford United FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC43% Draw29% Sunderland AFC28%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
57%
Oxford United FC or Sunderland AFC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC27% Draw51% Sunderland AFC22%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.