Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Orlando City SC

2 – 3

Full Time

Minnesota United FC

Sun 10 Mar 2024 · 00:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' Wil Trapp

Felipe Martins 34' Y

Y 44' Michael Boxall

Y 70' D.J. Taylor

Y 79' Kervin Arriaga

Y 90' Dayne St. Clair

Y 90' Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Orlando City SC 5 games · Avg 3.4 goals Minnesota United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-10 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC 2023-04-16 Minnesota United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC 2020-08-07 Orlando City SC 3–1 Minnesota United FC 2019-08-18 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Orlando City SC 2018-03-11 Orlando City SC 1–2 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Minnesota United FC	H	2–3	L
02 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–5	L
25 Feb	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–0	D
21 Oct	Toronto FC	A	2–0	W
07 Oct	New England Revolution	H	3–2	W
05 Oct	Nashville SC	A	1–0	W

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	3–2	W
02 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–1	D
25 Feb	Austin FC	A	2–1	W
22 Oct	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–3	L
08 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	5–2	W
05 Oct	Los Angeles FC	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

Orlando City SC		Minnesota United FC
#11	Position	#25
20	Points	24
18	Played	18
6 / 2 / 10	W / D / L	6 / 6 / 6
30	Scored	20
47	Conceded	25
-17	GD	-5
1.11	PPG	1.33
33%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

32% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/2

16-30

5/6

31-45

–/6

46-60

6/3

61-75

5/2

76+

1/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Minnesota United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda

11 G

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah

8 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Exploria Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Orlando City SC and Minnesota United FC.
1' Duncan McGuire does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
4' The Finland Teemu Pukki breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 1-1!
9' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 9 minutes.
14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Orlando City SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
19' Orlando City SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Minnesota United FC's shape.
24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Felipe Martins made 277 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Eric Ramsay might look to freshen things up shortly.
32' The referee calls foul for Wil Trapp. He receives a card.
34' That is a card for Orlando City SC. Felipe Martins will be fuming at that decision.
38' GOAL! Teemu Pukki scores on 38. Assisted by Robin Lod
41' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Cesar Araujo exits the field as Wilder Cartagena enters on 41.
44' Michael Boxall is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
46' Nicolas Lodeiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Felipe Martins at the 46 minute mark.
51' Orlando City SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
54' The crowd applauds Robin Lod as he leaves the pitch. Kervin Arriaga steps in for Minnesota United FC.
55' A change in the Orlando City SC ranks — Dagur THorhallsson exits the field as Michael Halliday enters on 55.
58' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Caden Clark exits the field as Tani Oluwaseyi enters on 58.
63' It is a cagey affair so far. Orlando City SC in their trying to find a way past Minnesota United FC's compact .
66' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Teemu Pukki is replaced by Bongokuhle Hlongwane on 66 minute.
70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for D.J. Taylor on 70 minutes.
75' The 29-year-old Dayne St. Clair has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
77' Minnesota United FC make a change. D.J. Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Zarek Valentin on 77 minutes.
79' Minnesota United FC player sees a card in front of him.
83' Duncan McGuire does the damage! The net is bulging and Orlando City SC surge ahead!
87' Another substitution for Orlando City SC to replace Duncan McGuire by Kyle Smith on 87 minute.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Dayne St. Clair argues furiously but the card stands.
With this win, Minnesota United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

15
Rodrigo Schlegel
11
Martin Ojeda
1
Pedro Gallese
8
Felipe Martins ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 46'
3
Rafael Santos
6
Robin Jansson
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Luis Muriel 55'
7
Ramiro Enrique
5
Cesar Araujo ↓ Wilder Cartagena 41'
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Kyle Smith 87'
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↓ Michael Halliday 55'

Bench

Coach Óscar Pareja

Minnesota United FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Teemu Pukki ↓ Bongokuhle Hlongwane 66'
17
Robin Lod ↓ Kervin Arriaga 54'
20
Wil Trapp
15
Michael Boxall
31
Hassani Dotson
97
Dayne St. Clair
37
Caden Clark ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 58'
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Zarek Valentin 77'
8
Joseph Rosales
4
Miguel Tapias
11
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Jordan Adebayo-Smith 77'

Bench

Coach Eric Ramsay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nani	3
Duncan McGuire	3
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	2
Teemu Pukki	2
Ethan Finlay	2
Ethan Finlay	2
Abu Danladi	1
Benji Michel	1

Head to Head

Orlando City SC Form

2024-03-10 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC L 2024-03-02 Internacional CF Miami 5–0 Orlando City SC L 2024-02-25 Orlando City SC 0–0 Montreal Impact FC D 2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC W 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution W 2023-10-05 Nashville SC 0–1 Orlando City SC W

Minnesota United FC Form

2024-03-10 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC W 2024-03-02 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew SC D 2024-02-25 Austin FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC W 2023-10-22 Sporting Kansas City 3–1 Minnesota United FC L 2023-10-08 Minnesota United FC 5–2 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2023-10-05 Los Angeles FC 5–1 Minnesota United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.84 Orlando City SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.79 Minnesota United FC xG

I would bet for: Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Orlando City SC39% Draw25% Minnesota United FC36%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw

64%

Draw or Minnesota United FC

61%

Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Orlando City SC31% Draw40% Minnesota United FC29%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

7.6%

2 – 2

6.8%

3 – 1

4.7%

2 – 0

4.6%

1 – 3

4.5%

1 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 2

4.2%

0 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

Actual

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap	Orlando City SC covers	Push	Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	17%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.