Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Orlando City SC

2 – 3

Full Time

Minnesota United FC

Sun 10 Mar 2024 · 00:30 UTC Exploria Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 32' Wil Trapp

Felipe Martins 34' Y

Y 44' Michael Boxall

Y 70' D.J. Taylor

Y 79' Kervin Arriaga

Y 90' Dayne St. Clair

Y 90' Bongokuhle Hlongwane

Overview

Match Preview

Orlando City SC vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.

Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Orlando City SC 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals Minnesota United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-10 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC 2023-04-16 Minnesota United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC 2020-08-07 Orlando City SC 3–1 Minnesota United FC 2019-08-18 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Orlando City SC 2018-03-11 Orlando City SC 1–2 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Minnesota United FC	H	2–3	L
02 Mar	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–5	L
25 Feb	Montreal Impact FC	H	0–0	D
21 Oct	Toronto FC	A	2–0	W
07 Oct	New England Revolution	H	3–2	W
05 Oct	Nashville SC	A	1–0	W

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Orlando City SC	A	3–2	W
02 Mar	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–1	D
25 Feb	Austin FC	A	2–1	W
22 Oct	Sporting Kansas City	A	1–3	L
08 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	5–2	W
05 Oct	Los Angeles FC	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

Orlando City SC		Minnesota United FC
#7	Position	#29
34	Points	29
27	Played	27
10 / 4 / 13	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 12
48	Scored	40
64	Conceded	49
-16	GD	-9
1.26	PPG	1.07
37%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

22% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts). Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/3

16-30

8/8

31-45

1/7

46-60

8/6

61-75

7/4

76+

9/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Minnesota United FC

0-15

4/7

16-30

4/9

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/5

61-75

7/4

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	13 G	1 A
Antoine Griezmann	8 G	4 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah	14 G	2 A
Anthony Markanich	8 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Exploria Stadium!
1' Duncan McGuire makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Orlando City SC are in front.
4' GOAL! Teemu Pukki scores on 4.
9' Orlando City SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
19' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Óscar Pareja will be considering his options from the bench.
24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Angulo suffering a number of foals already.
32' Wil Trapp picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
34' Felipe Martins was booked on 34.
38' Teemu Pukki with the second goal in the match!
41' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Wilder Cartagena comes on to replace Cesar Araujo.
44' That looks like a foul for a card for Michael Boxall.
46' The crowd applauds Felipe Martins as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Lodeiro steps in for Orlando City SC.
51' The 27-year-old Martin Ojeda has been sensational this season — 7 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
54' The Minnesota United FC bench stirs into life. Robin Lod is withdrawn and Kervin Arriaga gets his opportunity.
55' Another change for Orlando City SC made on 55 minute. Dagur THorhallsson leaves to be changed by Michael Halliday.
58' Caden Clark makes way for Tani Oluwaseyi at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Minnesota United FC.
63' Orlando City SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
66' Minnesota United FC make a change. Teemu Pukki trudges off to be replaced by Bongokuhle Hlongwane on 66 minutes.
70' D.J. Taylor is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
75' Orlando City SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
77' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. D.J. Taylor departs to be replaced by Zarek Valentin.
79' A moment of madness from Kervin Arriaga on 79 minutes earns him a card. Minnesota United FC will be frustrated.
83' What a strike from Duncan McGuire! The score is 2-2.
87' Fresh legs for Orlando City SC! Kyle Smith comes on to replace Duncan McGuire.
90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dayne St. Clair on 90 minutes.
Minnesota United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

15
Rodrigo Schlegel
11
Martin Ojeda
1
Pedro Gallese
8
Felipe Martins ↓ Nicolas Lodeiro 46'
3
Rafael Santos
6
Robin Jansson
77
Ivan Angulo ↓ Luis Muriel 55'
7
Ramiro Enrique
5
Cesar Araujo ↓ Wilder Cartagena 41'
13
Duncan McGuire ↓ Kyle Smith 87'
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↓ Michael Halliday 55'

Bench

Coach Óscar Pareja

Minnesota United FC Lineups

Starting XI

22
Teemu Pukki ↓ Bongokuhle Hlongwane 66'
17
Robin Lod ↓ Kervin Arriaga 54'
20
Wil Trapp
15
Michael Boxall
31
Hassani Dotson
97
Dayne St. Clair
37
Caden Clark ↓ Tani Oluwaseyi 58'
27
D.J. Taylor ↓ Zarek Valentin 77'
8
Joseph Rosales
4
Miguel Tapias
11
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Jordan Adebayo-Smith 77'

Bench

Coach Eric Ramsay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nani	3
Duncan McGuire	3
Teemu Pukki	2
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	2
Ethan Finlay	2
Ethan Finlay	2
Tyrese Spicer	1
Yoshimar Yotun	1

Head to Head

Orlando City SC Form

2024-03-10 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC L 2024-03-02 Internacional CF Miami 5–0 Orlando City SC L 2024-02-25 Orlando City SC 0–0 Montreal Impact FC D 2023-10-21 Toronto FC 0–2 Orlando City SC W 2023-10-07 Orlando City SC 3–2 New England Revolution W 2023-10-05 Nashville SC 0–1 Orlando City SC W

Minnesota United FC Form

2024-03-10 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC W 2024-03-02 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Columbus Crew SC D 2024-02-25 Austin FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC W 2023-10-22 Sporting Kansas City 3–1 Minnesota United FC L 2023-10-08 Minnesota United FC 5–2 Los Angeles Galaxy W 2023-10-05 Los Angeles FC 5–1 Minnesota United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.16 Orlando City SC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 Minnesota United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Orlando City SC42% Draw24% Minnesota United FC34%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes75% 0% No25%

Avg goals/match: 4.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Orlando City SC or Draw

65%

Draw or Minnesota United FC

58%

Orlando City SC or Minnesota United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Orlando City SC34% Draw37% Minnesota United FC29%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.6%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.1%

3 – 2

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 0

3.9%

3 – 3

3.3%

0 – 2

3.2%

1 – 0

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC

Handicap	Orlando City SC covers	Push	Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	13%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	18%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	16%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.