Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 16:00 UTC Orange Velodrome 64,380 HT 45' · FT 45'
Quentin Merlin 17' 1–0
1–1 87' Bafode Diakite

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Willy Delajod
  • Assistant 1 Erwan Finjean
  • Assistant 2 Philippe Jeanne
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Lille OSC H 1–1 D
08 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 2–0 W
01 Dec AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
23 Nov Racing Club de Lens A 3–1 W
08 Nov AJ Auxerre H 1–3 L
03 Nov FC Nantes A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Olympique de Marseille A 1–1 D
11 Dec SK Sturm Graz H 3–2 W
06 Dec Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
01 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
24 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Lille OSC
#7 Position #5
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Orange Velodrome. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Lille OSC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Olympique de Marseille side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 17' Against the run of play, Quentin Merlin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 22' The travelling Lille OSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' Mitchel Bakker has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Olympique de Marseille and Lille OSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' Olympique de Marseille currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Mitchel Bakker has so much to prove this time. He replaces Edon Zhegrova on 46 minute.
  • 51' Olympique de Marseille are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Lille OSC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Adrien Rabiot has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 63' The referee has no hesitation. Bafode Diakite is booked for Lille OSC — card on 63.
  • 65' Thomas Meunier has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aissa Mandi on 65 minute.
  • 70' Lille OSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 74' Derek Cornelius has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valentin Rongier on 74 minute.
  • 75' Another change for Olympique de Marseille made on 75 minute. Quentin Merlin leaves to be changed by Pol Mikel Lirola.
  • 80' Both keepers have barely been tested. Olympique de Marseille and Lille OSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 81' A change in the Lille OSC ranks — Hakon Haraldsson exits the field as Remy Cabella enters on 81.
  • 84' The Olympique de Marseille manager makes a substitution. Mason Greenwood departs to be replaced by Bilal Nadir.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pierre Emile Hojbjerg on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Against the run of play, Bafode Diakite has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 88' Another change for Olympique de Marseille made on 88 minute. Neal Maupay leaves to be changed by Jonathan Rowe.
  • 90' Andre Gomes is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.62 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille30% Draw38% Lille OSC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
68%
Draw or Lille OSC
70%
Olympique de Marseille or Lille OSC
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille15% Draw65% Lille OSC20%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.8%
0 – 1
17.5%
1 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
1.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
1 – 3
1.2%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 18% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 23% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
47%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.