Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Porto, Champions League 2020-21 GROUP STAGE

Wed 25 Nov 2020 · 20:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45+2' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Porto — Champions League at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Andreas Ekberg
  • Referee Mehmet-Mohammed Culum
  • Referee Stefan Hallberg
  • Referee Kristoffer Karlsson

Head-to-Head

2
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals FC Porto

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov FC Porto H 0–2 L
06 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–0 W
03 Nov FC Porto A 0–3 L
27 Oct Manchester City FC H 0–3 L
24 Oct FC Lorient A 1–0 W
21 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 2–0 W
08 Nov Portimonense SC H 3–1 W
03 Nov Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
30 Oct FC Paços de Ferreira A 2–3 L
27 Oct PAE Olympiakos SFP H 2–0 W
24 Oct Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC Porto this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.83 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73 FC Porto xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille21% Draw26% FC Porto53%
Actual: FC Porto win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
47%
Draw or FC Porto
79%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Porto
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille14% Draw46% FC Porto40%
Actual: FC Porto win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 1
11.9%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 4
2.8%
2 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Porto covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 24% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
FC Porto keeps clean sheet
44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.