Sunday , 16 August 2026

Norwich City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Carrow Road 24,738 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 37' Georginio Rutter
0–2 45+2' Georginio Rutter
0–3 59' Julio Enciso
0–3 60' Julio Enciso
0–4 74' Solly March

Overview

Match Preview

Norwich City FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCFA Cup at Carrow Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Simon Hooper
  • Assistant 1 Adrian Holmes
  • Assistant 2 Scott Ledger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 0–4 L
04 Jan Coventry City FC H 2–1 W
01 Jan Luton Town FC A 1–0 W
29 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–1 D
26 Dec Millwall FC H 2–1 W
21 Dec Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Norwich City FC A 4–0 W
04 Jan Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
30 Dec Aston Villa FC A 2–2 D
27 Dec Brentford FC H 0–0 D
21 Dec West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
15 Dec Crystal Palace FC H 1–3 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Norwich City FC
Jovon Makama 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Norwich City FC26% Draw29% Brighton & Hove Albion FC45%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Norwich City FC or Draw
55%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
74%
Norwich City FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Norwich City FC18% Draw48% Brighton & Hove Albion FC34%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC

Handicap Norwich City FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 23% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.