Thursday , 1 October 2026

Northampton Town FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Sixfields Stadium 7,947 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tomoki Iwata og 17' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Keshi Anderson

Overview

Match Preview

Northampton Town FC vs Birmingham City FC — League One at Sixfields Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Guest (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Northampton Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
08 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Stockport County FC H 1–1 D
01 Mar Exeter City FC A 1–1 D
25 Feb Barnsley FC H 1–2 L
22 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Northampton Town FC A 1–1 D
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Northampton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Northampton Town FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Northampton Town FC41% Draw29% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Northampton Town FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
59%
Northampton Town FC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Northampton Town FC29% Draw50% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Northampton Town FC

Handicap Northampton Town FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.