Thursday , 2 July 2026

Northampton Town FC vs Birmingham City FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC Sixfields Stadium 7,947 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tomoki Iwata og 17' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Keshi Anderson

Overview

Match Preview

Northampton Town FC vs Birmingham City FCLeague One at Sixfields Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Joyce
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Guest (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jonathon Block (England)

Head-to-Head

2
Northampton Town FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D
08 Mar Leyton Orient FC A 2–1 W
04 Mar Stockport County FC H 1–1 D
01 Mar Exeter City FC A 1–1 D
25 Feb Barnsley FC H 1–2 L
22 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Northampton Town FC A 1–1 D
11 Mar Stevenage FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Lincoln City FC H 1–0 W
04 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–3 L
01 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Leyton Orient FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Sixfields Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Birmingham City FC that had 383 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 17' Tomoki Iwata puts Birmingham City FC on the lead.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' It’s high time Chris Davies made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 42' Birmingham City FC is showing some good football. However, Birmingham City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Jay Stansfield.
  • 47' Goal! Keshi Anderson scores his 15 goal in 57 matches.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Birmingham City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Akin Odimayo, as he is very good at scoring at Sixfields Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' The whistle greets Keshi Anderson as he departs to be replaced by Emil Hansson.
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willum Thor Willumsson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' TJ Eyoma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akin Odimayo on 70 minute.
  • 75' Northampton Town FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' Another substitution for Northampton Town FC to replace Ben Perry by William Hondermarck on 77 minute.
  • 82' Northampton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 82.
  • 85' The Northampton Town FC manager makes a substitution. Aaron McGowan departs to be replaced by Ali Koiki.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Krystian Bielik. He replaces Alfons Sampsted on 86 minute.
  • 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Lee Burge.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Northampton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Northampton Town FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Northampton Town FC41% Draw29% Birmingham City FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Northampton Town FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
59%
Northampton Town FC or Birmingham City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Northampton Town FC29% Draw50% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Northampton Town FC

Handicap Northampton Town FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Northampton Town FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.