Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 3 Jan 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
9 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 16.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan Arsenal FC H 2–3 L
30 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
27 Dec Brentford FC A 1–4 L
20 Dec Burnley FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Manchester United FC A 4–4 D
06 Dec Chelsea FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Jan AFC Bournemouth A 3–2 W
30 Dec Aston Villa FC H 4–1 W
27 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Everton FC A 1–0 W
13 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
10 Dec Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W

Season Stats

AFC Bournemouth Arsenal FC
#7 Position #1
15 Points 27
10 Played 10
4 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 9 / 0 / 1
16 Scored 15
14 Conceded 5
+2 GD +10
1.50 PPG 2.70
40% Win % 90%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
AFC Bournemouth this season
70% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

AFC Bournemouth are 7th (15 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Bournemouth
Evanilson 5 G 4 A
Marcus Tavernier 5 G
Alex Scott 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AFC Bournemouth Lineups

Arsenal FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.93 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth21% Draw26% Arsenal FC53%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
47%
Draw or Arsenal FC
79%
AFC Bournemouth or Arsenal FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth15% Draw45% Arsenal FC40%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 4
2.9%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 24% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.