Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

5 – 1

Full Time

New England Revolution

Wed 17 Jul 2024 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 66' Jack Panayotou

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
New England Revolution 34 games · 58 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 24 games · Avg 2.5 goals New England Revolution

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-17 Philadelphia Union 5–1 New England Revolution 2024-05-18 New England Revolution 0–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-10-21 New England Revolution 2–1 Philadelphia Union 2023-05-20 Philadelphia Union 3–0 New England Revolution 2022-07-16 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New England Revolution

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jul	New England Revolution	H	5–1	W
13 Jul	Toronto FC	A	1–2	L
06 Jul	New York Red Bulls	H	0–0	D
04 Jul	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–4	L
29 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	A	2–4	L
22 Jun	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L

New England Revolution

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jul	Philadelphia Union	A	1–5	L
13 Jul	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
07 Jul	Seattle Sounders FC	A	0–2	L
03 Jul	Atlanta United FC	H	2–1	W
29 Jun	Columbus Crew SC	H	1–5	L
22 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New England Revolution
#6	Position	#3
50	Points	58
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	18 / 4 / 12
66	Scored	55
52	Conceded	47
+14	GD	+8
1.47	PPG	1.71
41%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

24% Clean Sheets
New England Revolution this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). New England Revolution are 3rd (58 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New England Revolution

0-15

5/5

16-30

4/2

31-45

9/6

46-60

9/3

61-75

2/8

76+

12/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

New England Revolution

Carles Gil	13 G	7 A
Dor Turgeman	12 G	7 A
Peyton Miller	7 G	7 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Subaru Park as Philadelphia Union face off against New England Revolution in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' It looks surprising New England Revolution does not make any changes. Bobby Wood has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
10' New England Revolution looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Carles Gil scoring 1 goals.
15' New England Revolution is showing some good football. However, New England Revolution are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Caleb Porter will be considering his options from the bench.
29' Philadelphia Union is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tai Baribo on 29.
34' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
39' Jacob Glesnes adds to his 0 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
44' GOAL! Tai Baribo fires home to make it 3-0!
49' Matt Polster is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New England Revolution so far.
50' Ian Harkes does the damage! The net is bulging and New England Revolution surge ahead!
52' Tai Baribo doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
57' New England Revolution manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Henry Kessler is hanging Xavier Arreaga on the field on 57 minute.
58' Another change for New England Revolution made on 58 minute. Bobby Wood leaves to be changed by Tommy McNamara.
63' Esmir Bajraktarevic makes way for Malcolm Fry at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from New England Revolution.
66' Jack Panayotou was booked on 66.
71' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Alejandro Bedoya has done his job and it is now time for Jesus Bueno to step up.
72' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 72 minute. Mikkel Uhre leaves to be changed by Quinn Sullivan.
74' New England Revolution make a change. Ryan Spaulding trudges off to be replaced by Peyton Miller on 74 minutes.
79' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
84' Quinn Sullivan doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
89' New England Revolution has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
New England Revolution will have plenty to reflect on. Philadelphia Union were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New England Revolution Lineups

Starting XI

17
Bobby Wood ↓ Tommy McNamara 58'
88
Andrew Farrell
8
Matt Polster ↓ Mark-Anthony Kaye 58'
14
Ian Harkes
6
Jonathan Mensah
31
Aljaz Ivacic
3
Xavier Arreaga ↓ Henry Kessler 57'
2
Dave Romney
34
Ryan Spaulding ↓ Peyton Miller 74'
47
Esmir Bajraktarevic ↓ Malcolm Fry 63'
22
Jack Panayotou

Bench

15
Brandon Bye
28
Mark-Anthony Kaye ↑ 58'
36
Earl Edwards Jr.
4
Henry Kessler ↑ 57'
26
Tommy McNamara ↑ 58'
16
Josh Bolma
25
Peyton Miller ↑ 74'
32
Malcolm Fry ↑ 63'
39
Marcos Dias

Coach Caleb Porter

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gustavo Bou	5
Daniel Gazdag	5
Anthony Fontana	4
Tai Baribo	4
Sergio Santos	4
Tajon Buchanan	3
Jack Elliott	3
Julian Carranza	3

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-07-17 Philadelphia Union 5–1 New England Revolution W 2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls D 2024-07-04 Chicago Fire FC 4–3 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-29 Montreal Impact FC 4–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-22 Philadelphia Union 0–2 Charlotte FC L

New England Revolution Form

2024-07-17 Philadelphia Union 5–1 New England Revolution L 2024-07-13 New England Revolution 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-07-07 Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 New England Revolution L 2024-07-03 New England Revolution 2–1 Atlanta United FC W 2024-06-29 New England Revolution 1–5 Columbus Crew SC L 2024-06-22 FC Cincinnati 1–2 New England Revolution W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.38 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 New England Revolution xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union61% Draw21% New England Revolution18%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

82%

Draw or New England Revolution

39%

Philadelphia Union or New England Revolution

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union46% Draw38% New England Revolution16%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.2%

3 – 1

7.2%

1 – 0

6.4%

3 – 0

6.3%

2 – 2

5.3%

1 – 2

4.6%

4 – 1

4.3%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 0

4.2%

4 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New England Revolution covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	21%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

New England Revolution keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.