Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nashville SC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 22:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nashville SC vs Orlando City SCMLS .

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Rivas
10 games this season 🟨 3.4/game 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Orlando City SC H 5–0 W
14 Mar Columbus Crew SC A 1–0 W
08 Mar Minnesota United FC H 3–1 W
01 Mar FC Dallas A 0–0 D
22 Feb New England Revolution H 4–1 W
18 Oct Internacional CF Miami H 2–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Nashville SC A 0–5 L
14 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 2–1 W
07 Mar New York City FC A 0–5 L
02 Mar Internacional CF Miami H 2–4 L
22 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–2 L
18 Oct Toronto FC A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Orlando City SC
#1 Position #11
40 Points 20
18 Played 18
12 / 4 / 2 W / D / L 6 / 2 / 10
35 Scored 30
14 Conceded 47
+21 GD -17
2.22 PPG 1.11
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
16% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 10 G
Hany Mukhtar 6 G 4 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Orlando City SC
Martin Ojeda 11 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Nashville SC Lineups

Orlando City SC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.66 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Nashville SC to win 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC75% Draw14% Orlando City SC11%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
89%
Draw or Orlando City SC
25%
Nashville SC or Orlando City SC
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC64% Draw27% Orlando City SC9%
Actual: Nashville SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
7.5%
4 – 1
7%
4 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
6.4%
5 – 1
5.1%
5 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Orlando City SC covers
-2.5 47% 53%
-2 47% 19% 34%
-1.5 66% 34%
-1 66% 16% 18%
-0.5 82% 18%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
35%
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.