Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Thu 22 Apr 2021 · 10:30 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Ryo Hirama
  • Referee Daisuke Sakurai
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Gamba Osaka H 2–0 W
18 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–2 L
14 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
11 Apr Oita FC Trinita A 3–0 W
07 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
03 Apr FC Tokyo H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L
18 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
07 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
03 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Gamba Osaka
#3 Position #5
31 Points 28
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
46 Scored 61
44 Conceded 53
+2 GD +8
1.72 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Gamba Osaka kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 14' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryogo Yamasaki.
  • 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryogo Yamasaki makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 34' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
  • 39' Japan international Yutaka Yoshida has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
  • 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shinya Yajima made 275 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Gamba OsakaJu Sejong on, Yosuke Ideguchi off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Mitch Langerak has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 55' Yuki Soma adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 60' Gamba Osaka ring the changes. Kosuke Onose has done his job and it is now time for Keisuke Kurokawa to step up.
  • 62' Gen Shoji catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 62.
  • 67' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Gamba Osaka! Shinya Yajima comes on to replace Yuki Yamamoto.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Manabu Saito comes on to replace Yuki Soma.
  • 81' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Mateus exits the field as Shinnosuke Nakatani enters on 81.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Takashi Usami. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus50% Draw20% Gamba Osaka30%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes83% 0% No17%
Avg goals/match: 5.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
50%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus38% Draw33% Gamba Osaka29%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–0 not predicted
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 14% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 17% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 14% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 10% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.