Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yuichi Nishimura
- Referee Hiroki Kasahara
- Referee Ryo Hirama
- Referee Daisuke Sakurai
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Oita FC Trinita | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 61 |
| 44 | Conceded | 53 |
| +2 | GD | +8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Gamba Osaka.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Nagoya Grampus winning 50% of all matches.
- 14' Nagoya Grampus player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 19' Gamba Osaka have won 377 goals from 403 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 24' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 29' The Japan Ryogo Yamasaki breaks the deadlock on 29 minutes. 1-0!
- 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leandro Pereira made 173 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' A quiet spell here at Paloma Mizuho Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' A change in the Gamba Osaka ranks — Yosuke Ideguchi exits the field as Ju Sejong enters on 46.
- 51' Nagoya Grampus looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Sho Inagaki scoring 1 goals.
- 55' What composure from Yuki Soma! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 60' The Gamba Osaka bench stirs into life. Kosuke Onose is withdrawn and Keisuke Kurokawa gets his opportunity.
- 62' Gen Shoji has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 62.
- 67' Yuki Yamamoto is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
- 70' Gamba Osaka make a change. Yuki Yamamoto trudges off to be replaced by Shinya Yajima on 70 minutes.
- 75' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Shinya Yajima has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 77' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Manabu Saito on, Yuki Soma off on 77 minutes.
- 81' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Mateus departs to be replaced by Shinnosuke Nakatani.
- 86' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Gamba Osaka's compact .
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Takashi Usami on 88.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Nagoya Grampus players.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 9
- 8
- 14
- 3
- 26
-
11
Yuki Soma ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 77'
-
16
Mateus ↓ Shinnosuke Nakatani 81'
Bench
-
19
Manabu Saito ↑ 77'
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 77'
- 25
- 21
- 10
-
4
Shinnosuke Nakatani ↑ 81'
- 17
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
-
15
Yosuke Ideguchi ↓ Ju Sejong 46'
- 39
- 1
- 5
-
8
Kosuke Onose ↓ Keisuke Kurokawa 60'
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Tiago Alves 70'
- 14
-
18
Patric ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 81'
- 3
-
29
Yuki Yamamoto ↓ Tiago Alves 70'
Bench
-
21
Shinya Yajima ↑ 70'
-
6
Ju Sejong ↑ 46'
- 13
-
20
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 81'
-
24
Keisuke Kurokawa ↑ 60'
-
32
Tiago Alves ↑ 70'
- 25
Coach
Tsuneyasu Miyamoto
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jo | 4 |
| Jo | 4 |
| Patric | 3 |
| Ademilson | 3 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 2 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 83%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 4.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
50%
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–0 not predicted2 – 0Actual
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%
4 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 14% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 17% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 14% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.