NEC vs PSV, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NEC vs PSV — Eredivisie at De Goffert.
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Freek Vandeursen
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | PSV | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Mar | FC Utrecht | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Mar | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | FC Volendam | A | 5–2 | W |
| 24 Feb | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | NEC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Mar | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Feb | PEC Zwolle | A | 7–1 | W |
Season Stats
| NEC | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #1 |
| 14 | Points | 26 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 3 / 5 / 4 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 2 |
| 20 | Scored | 40 |
| 21 | Conceded | 15 |
| -1 | GD | +25 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.17 |
| 25% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
90%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
NEC are 11th (14 pts). PSV are 1st (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 4 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds De Goffert will turn into a battlefield for NEC and PSV.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philippe Sandler, as he is very good at scoring at De Goffert with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' A moment of madness from Andre Ramalho on 10 minutes earns him a card. PSV will be frustrated.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both NEC and PSV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' What composure from Johan Bakayoko! The Belgium international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 25' Kodai Sano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 30' The 28-year-old Mees Hoedemakers has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 42' The referee calls foul for Joey Veerman. He receives a card.
- 43' Lasse Schone adds to his 0 season tally! NEC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 46' Malik Tillman is replacing Hirving Lozano for the PSV side.
- 49' Kodai Sano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
- 53' The crowd applauds Bart van Rooij as he leaves the pitch. Brayann Pereira steps in for NEC.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. NEC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 59' PSV make a change. Andre Ramalho trudges off to be replaced by Mauro Junior on 59 minutes.
- 60' Guus Til makes way for Ricardo Pepi at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
- 62' Lars Olden Larsen gets the nod from NEC. He replaces Lasse Schone and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' GOAL! Sylla Sow scores on 63. Assisted by Brayann Pereira
- 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 73' Jasper Cillessen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 528 appearances.
- 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ricardo Pepi made 299 appearances and scored 61 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 88' NEC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against PSV's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 90' A tactical swap from NEC — Mathias Ross on, Roberto Gonzalez off on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
NEC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 19
- 20
- 24
- 1
- 17
-
11
Roberto Gonzalez ↓ Mathias Ross 90'
- 3
- 28
- 5
- 23
Bench
- 10
- 22
- 31
-
2
Brayann Pereira ↑ 53'
- 32
-
14
Lars Olden Larsen ↑ 62'
- 27
-
4
Mathias Ross ↑ 90'
Coach
Rogier Meijer
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
27
Hirving Lozano ↓ Malik Tillman 46'
- 9
- 3
-
20
Guus Til ↓ Ricardo Pepi 60'
- 22
- 18
- 1
-
5
Andre Ramalho ↓ Mauro Junior 59'
- 8
- 23
- 11
Bench
- 4
-
17
Mauro Junior ↑ 59'
- 30
- 16
- 24
- 6
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↑ 60'
- 34
-
10
Malik Tillman ↑ 46'
- 2
- 31
- 26
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 10 |
| Oussama Tannane | 3 |
| Joey Veerman | 2 |
| Magnus Mattsson | 2 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 2 |
| Jonathan Okita | 2 |
| Olivier Boscagli | 2 |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 |
Head to Head
NEC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: NEC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
NEC or Draw
54%
Draw or PSV
68%
NEC or PSV
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–1 not predicted3 – 1Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
1 – 4
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — NEC
| Handicap | NEC covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 13% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 20% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +2.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
Clean Sheet
NEC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

