Saturday , 14 November 2026

NEC vs PSV, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
3 – 1
Full Time
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 15:30 UTC De Goffert HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Johan Bakayoko
Lasse Schone pen 43' 1–1
Kodai Sano 49' 2–1
Sylla Sow 63' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs PSV — Eredivisie at De Goffert.

  • NEC 12 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
  • PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Freek Vandeursen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar PSV H 3–1 W
17 Mar FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
10 Mar SC Heerenveen H 2–0 W
01 Mar FC Volendam A 5–2 W
24 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 2–0 W
18 Feb AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar NEC A 1–3 L
17 Mar FC Twente '65 H 1–0 W
13 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
08 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 1–0 W
03 Mar Feyenoord Rotterdam H 2–2 D
24 Feb PEC Zwolle A 7–1 W

Season Stats

NEC PSV
#11 Position #1
14 Points 26
12 Played 12
3 / 5 / 4 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 2
20 Scored 40
21 Conceded 15
-1 GD +25
1.17 PPG 2.17
25% Win % 67%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
90% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season
17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

NEC are 11th (14 pts). PSV are 1st (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/5
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 9 G 2 A
Guus Til 7 G 1 A
Ruben van Bommel 4 G 3 A
Ricardo Pepi 4 G 1 A
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds De Goffert will turn into a battlefield for NEC and PSV.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philippe Sandler, as he is very good at scoring at De Goffert with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' A moment of madness from Andre Ramalho on 10 minutes earns him a card. PSV will be frustrated.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both NEC and PSV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' What composure from Johan Bakayoko! The Belgium international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 25' Kodai Sano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 30' The 28-year-old Mees Hoedemakers has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' The referee calls foul for Joey Veerman. He receives a card.
  • 43' Lasse Schone adds to his 0 season tally! NEC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' Malik Tillman is replacing Hirving Lozano for the PSV side.
  • 49' Kodai Sano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 53' The crowd applauds Bart van Rooij as he leaves the pitch. Brayann Pereira steps in for NEC.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. NEC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' PSV make a change. Andre Ramalho trudges off to be replaced by Mauro Junior on 59 minutes.
  • 60' Guus Til makes way for Ricardo Pepi at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
  • 62' Lars Olden Larsen gets the nod from NEC. He replaces Lasse Schone and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' GOAL! Sylla Sow scores on 63. Assisted by Brayann Pereira
  • 68' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 73' Jasper Cillessen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 528 appearances.
  • 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 83' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ricardo Pepi made 299 appearances and scored 61 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 88' NEC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against PSV's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 90' A tactical swap from NEC — Mathias Ross on, Roberto Gonzalez off on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 PSV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NEC32% Draw22% PSV46%
Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
54%
Draw or PSV
68%
NEC or PSV
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NEC21% Draw37% PSV42%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.3%
1 – 1
8%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
1 – 4
3.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
2 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 13% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 20% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 16% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.