NEC vs AZ, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

NEC

2 – 1

Full Time

Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 10:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs AZ — Eredivisie .

NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
AZ 7 games · 19 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Van der Eijk

5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	7	19
2	Feyenoord Rotterdam	7	17
3	PSV	7	16
4	FC Twente '65	7	16
5	AFC Ajax	7	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	13
7	SBV Excelsior	7	11
8	FC Groningen	7	11
9	Go Ahead Eagles	7	10
10	SC Heerenveen	7	9
11	NEC	7	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	5
13	Telstar 1963	7	5
14	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	7	5
15	FC Utrecht	7	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	2
18	Willem II Tilburg	7	2

Head-to-Head

NEC 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals AZ

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-28 NEC 2–1 AZ 2025-03-29 NEC 3–3 AZ 2024-08-17 AZ 1–0 NEC 2024-04-28 NEC 0–3 AZ 2023-12-06 AZ 1–2 NEC

Recent Form

NEC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	AZ	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	SC Heerenveen	A	2–3	L
13 Sep	PSV	H	3–5	L
31 Aug	Fortuna Sittard	A	2–3	L
24 Aug	NAC Breda	H	3–0	W
16 Aug	Heracles Almelo	A	4–1	W

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	NEC	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	PEC Zwolle	H	2–2	D
21 Sep	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	3–3	D
14 Sep	Heracles Almelo	A	2–1	W
31 Aug	NAC Breda	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	FC Volendam	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

NEC		AZ
#11	Position	#1
8	Points	19
7	Played	7
2 / 2 / 3	W / D / L	6 / 1 / 0
12	Scored	18
13	Conceded	6
-1	GD	+12
1.14	PPG	2.71
29%	Win %	86%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

NEC are 11th (8 pts). AZ are 1st (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC

0-15

3/2

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/3

31-45

3/–

46-60

4/–

61-75

4/1

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

NEC

Tjaronn Chery	3 G	2 A
Kaj Sierhuis	2 G
Adam Tahauia	2 G
Bryan Linssen	1 G

Ro-Zangelo Daal	4 G
Mexx Meerdink	3 G	2 A
Jizz Hornkamp	2 G
Ayoub Oufkir	2 G
Calvin Stengs	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — NEC and AZ get this one started.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AZ.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

AZ Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jesper Karlsson	7
Vangelis Pavlidis	2
Jordy Bruijn	2
Ernest Poku	2
Hakon Evjen	2
Rodrigo Guth	2
Vito van Crooij	2
Bas Dost	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.35 NEC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.12 AZ xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

NEC31% Draw23% AZ46%

Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.47

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw

54%

Draw or AZ

69%

NEC or AZ

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

NEC20% Draw40% AZ40%

Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 2

1 – 3

6.4%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

6.1%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 3

4.8%

0 – 0

4.5%

2 – 3

4.3%

1 – 0

3.6%

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap	NEC covers	Push	AZ covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	13%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	46%	—	54%
+1	46%	21%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	16%	17%
+2.5	83%	—	17%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

AZ keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.