NEC vs AZ, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

NEC

2 – 1

Full Time

Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 10:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs AZ — Eredivisie .

NEC 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
AZ 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Van der Eijk

5 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 2.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	2	6
2	FC Groningen	2	6
3	AFC Ajax	2	6
4	Go Ahead Eagles	2	4
5	Fortuna Sittard	2	4
6	PSV	2	4
7	Feyenoord Rotterdam	2	4
8	SBV Excelsior	2	3
9	NEC	2	3
10	Sparta Rotterdam	2	3
11	FC Twente '65	2	3
12	SC Heerenveen	2	3
13	Telstar 1963	2	3
14	FC Utrecht	2	0
15	PEC Zwolle	2	0
16	ADO Den Haag	2	0
17	Willem II Tilburg	2	0
18	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	2	0

Head-to-Head

NEC 10 games · Avg 3.1 goals AZ

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-28 NEC 2–1 AZ 2025-03-29 NEC 3–3 AZ 2024-08-17 AZ 1–0 NEC 2024-04-28 NEC 0–3 AZ 2023-12-06 AZ 1–2 NEC

Recent Form

NEC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	AZ	H	2–1	W
21 Sep	SC Heerenveen	A	2–3	L
13 Sep	PSV	H	3–5	L
31 Aug	Fortuna Sittard	A	2–3	L
24 Aug	NAC Breda	H	3–0	W
16 Aug	Heracles Almelo	A	4–1	W

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	NEC	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	PEC Zwolle	H	2–2	D
21 Sep	Feyenoord Rotterdam	H	3–3	D
14 Sep	Heracles Almelo	A	2–1	W
31 Aug	NAC Breda	A	1–0	W
17 Aug	FC Volendam	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

NEC		AZ
#9	Position	#1
3	Points	6
2	Played	2
1 / 0 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 0 / 0
5	Scored	6
3	Conceded	1
+2	GD	+5
1.50	PPG	3.00
50%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

50% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

NEC are 9th (3 pts). AZ are 1st (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

2/1

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

AZ Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jesper Karlsson	7
Rodrigo Guth	2
Vito van Crooij	2
Vangelis Pavlidis	2
Jordy Bruijn	2
Ernest Poku	2
Hakon Evjen	2
Troy Parrott	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.34 NEC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.21 AZ xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

NEC30% Draw23% AZ47%

Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw

53%

Draw or AZ

70%

NEC or AZ

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

NEC19% Draw39% AZ42%

Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.3%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 2

7.1%

1 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

0 – 1

5.9%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 3

5.1%

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

4.2%

1 – 4

3.7%

1 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap	NEC covers	Push	AZ covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	21%	35%
+1.5	65%	—	35%
+2	65%	17%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

AZ keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.