Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NEC vs AZ, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 10:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs AZ — Eredivisie .

  • NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
  • AZ 7 games · 19 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 11.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AZ H 2–1 W
21 Sep SC Heerenveen A 2–3 L
13 Sep PSV H 3–5 L
31 Aug Fortuna Sittard A 2–3 L
24 Aug NAC Breda H 3–0 W
16 Aug Heracles Almelo A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep NEC A 1–2 L
24 Sep PEC Zwolle H 2–2 D
21 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 3–3 D
14 Sep Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
31 Aug NAC Breda A 1–0 W
17 Aug FC Volendam A 2–2 D

Season Stats

NEC AZ
#11 Position #1
8 Points 19
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 0
12 Scored 18
13 Conceded 6
-1 GD +12
1.14 PPG 2.71
29% Win % 86%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

NEC are 11th (8 pts). AZ are 1st (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — NEC and AZ get this one started.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AZ.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

AZ Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 AZ xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NEC31% Draw23% AZ46%
Actual: NEC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
54%
Draw or AZ
69%
NEC or AZ
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NEC20% Draw40% AZ40%
Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 16% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
AZ keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.