Thursday , 2 July 2026

NAC Breda vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 18 May 2025 · 12:30 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,712 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elias Mar Omarsson 24' 1–0
1–1 45+1' Raffael Behounek

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Willem II TilburgEredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
14 May NEC A 0–3 L
10 May Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
04 May PEC Zwolle H 1–3 L
24 Apr AZ A 1–1 D
12 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May NAC Breda A 1–1 D
14 May PEC Zwolle H 1–2 L
09 May Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
03 May NEC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against NAC Breda and Willem II Tilburg has kicked off!
  • 5' NAC Breda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Per van Loon made 165 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Willem II Tilburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' NAC Breda is taking the lead after the goal scored by Elias Mar Omarsson on 24.
  • 29' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 42' A meaty challenge results in booking for Leo Greiml on 42.
  • 46' What an equalizer from Raffael Behounek!
  • 46' The Willem II Tilburg manager makes a substitution. Tommy St. Jago departs to be replaced by Jens Mathijsen.
  • 51' It looks surprising NAC Breda does not make any changes. Boris Lambert has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 61' The travelling Willem II Tilburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' Another substitution for NAC Breda to replace Dominik Janosek by Sana Fernandes on 64 minute.
  • 69' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 73' Another change for Willem II Tilburg made on 73 minute. Ringo Meerveld leaves to be changed by Dennis Kaygin.
  • 75' Time for substitution for NAC Breda. Elias Mar Omarsson is replaced by Sydney van Hooijdonk.
  • 80' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 82' Sana Fernandes is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 85' The Willem II Tilburg manager makes a substitution. Boris Lambert departs to be replaced by Miodrag Pivas.
  • 86' Time for substitution for NAC Breda. Leo Sauer is replaced by Raul Paula.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Willem II Tilburg 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda37% Draw29% Willem II Tilburg34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
66%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
63%
NAC Breda or Willem II Tilburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda25% Draw49% Willem II Tilburg26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
29%
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.