Sunday , 16 August 2026

NAC Breda vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 18 May 2025 · 12:30 UTC Rat Verlegh Stadion 18,712 HT 45' · FT 45'
Elias Mar Omarsson 24' 1–0
1–1 45+1' Raffael Behounek

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs Willem II TilburgEredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Van der Eijk
  • Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
  • Assistant 2 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
5 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 2.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
14 May NEC A 0–3 L
10 May Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
04 May PEC Zwolle H 1–3 L
24 Apr AZ A 1–1 D
12 Apr Go Ahead Eagles H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May NAC Breda A 1–1 D
14 May PEC Zwolle H 1–2 L
09 May Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
03 May NEC A 1–1 D
27 Apr Fortuna Sittard A 0–1 L
13 Apr AFC Ajax H 1–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/5
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. NAC Breda is hosting Willem II Tilburg for another epic battle.
  • 5' Clint Leemans has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 232 appearances.
  • 10' Kamal Sowah is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for NAC Breda so far.
  • 15' NAC Breda have won 74 goals from 103 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 24' Elias Mar Omarsson does the damage! The net is bulging and NAC Breda surge ahead!
  • 29' Willem II Tilburg is showing some good football. However, Willem II Tilburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' NAC Breda are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 42' The referee has no hesitation. Leo Greiml is booked for NAC Breda — card on 42.
  • 46' Raffael Behounek doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' The whistle greets Tommy St. Jago as he departs to be replaced by Jens Mathijsen.
  • 51' NAC Breda currently sit 15 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' It is a substitution in NAC Breda team. Dominik Janosek is replaced by Sana Fernandes on 64 minute.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 73' Dennis Kaygin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ringo Meerveld on 73 minute.
  • 75' A tactical swap from NAC BredaSydney van Hooijdonk on, Elias Mar Omarsson off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 82' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Sana Fernandes gets a card.
  • 85' Another substitution for Willem II Tilburg to replace Boris Lambert by Miodrag Pivas on 85 minute.
  • 86' Raul Paula is replacing Leo Sauer for the NAC Breda side.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or Willem II Tilburg 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda37% Draw29% Willem II Tilburg34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
66%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
63%
NAC Breda or Willem II Tilburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda25% Draw49% Willem II Tilburg26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
29%
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.