Thursday , 2 July 2026

NAC Breda vs FC Groningen, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
1 2
Full Time
Fri 3 Oct 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NAC Breda vs FC GroningenEredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee J. van der Laan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct FC Groningen H 1–2 L
27 Sep AFC Ajax A 1–2 L
20 Sep Heracles Almelo H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Twente '65 A 2–2 D
31 Aug AZ H 0–1 L
24 Aug NEC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Oct NAC Breda A 2–1 W
28 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam H 0–1 L
20 Sep Telstar 1963 H 2–0 W
14 Sep FC Utrecht A 1–0 W
29 Aug Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
23 Aug PSV A 2–4 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

NAC Breda Lineups

FC Groningen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 FC Groningen xG
I would bet for: NAC Breda or FC Groningen 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NAC Breda30% Draw28% FC Groningen42%
Actual: FC Groningen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

NAC Breda or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Groningen
70%
NAC Breda or FC Groningen
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NAC Breda23% Draw46% FC Groningen31%
Actual: FC Groningen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — NAC Breda

Handicap NAC Breda covers Push FC Groningen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 17% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
23%
FC Groningen keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.