NAC Breda vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs PSV — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Van der Eijk
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Erik Koopman
5 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 2.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | PSV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | NEC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and NAC Breda launch into their encounter with PSV.
- 5' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Boyd Lucassen.
- 10' Leo Sauer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 322 appearances.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matteo Dams suffering a number of foals already.
- 21' GOAL! Ricardo Pepi fires home to make it 0-1!
- 26' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 31' PSV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 32' It’s gonna be a card for Boy Kemper.
- 33' Ismael Saibari adds to his 3 season tally! PSV lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 34' A moment of madness from Ricardo Pepi on 34 minutes earns him a card. PSV will be frustrated.
- 35' The referee calls foul for Johan Bakayoko. He receives a card.
- 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Walter Benitez, as he is very good at scoring at Rat Verlegh Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His NAC Breda side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 50' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both NAC Breda and PSV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 62' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Raul Paula departs to be replaced by Lars Mol.
- 65' A stunning finish from Johan Bakayoko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 71' A change in the PSV ranks — Johan Bakayoko exits the field as Ivan Perisic enters on 71.
- 76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 81' The crowd applauds Fredrik Jensen as he leaves the pitch. Casper Staring steps in for NAC Breda.
- 83' Richie Ledezma is replacing Rick Karsdorp for the PSV side.
- 88' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from PSV to claim maximum points.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 23
- 2
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 62'
-
20
Fredrik Jensen ↓ Casper Staring 81'
- 99
- 5
- 4
- 7
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 81'
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Lars Mol 62'
Bench
- 10
- 15
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 62'
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 62'
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 81'
- 49
- 17
- 21
-
28
Lars Mol ↑ 62'
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 81'
- 14
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
PSV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 17
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Couhaib Driouech 71'
- 18
- 1
-
2
Rick Karsdorp ↓ Richie Ledezma 83'
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↓ Luuk de Jong 71'
- 34
-
7
Malik Tillman ↓ Isaac Babadi 83'
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Ivan Perisic 71'
- 6
- 32
Bench
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↑ 71'
- 20
- 16
-
5
Ivan Perisic ↑ 71'
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 71'
- 35
- 24
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↑ 83'
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↑ 83'
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
| Kacper Kostorz | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Luuk de Jong | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
54%
Draw or PSV
74%
NAC Breda or PSV
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

