NAC Breda vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs PSV — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Van der Eijk
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Erik Koopman
10 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 14.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | PSV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | NEC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — NAC Breda and PSV get this one started.
- 5' It’s a booking for NAC Breda player. Boyd Lucassen gets a card.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. NAC Breda and PSV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' named a 5-4-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 21' The USA Ricardo Pepi breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 0-1!
- 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 31' A quiet spell here at Rat Verlegh Stadion. NAC Breda seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' Controversy at the stadium! Boy Kemper argues furiously but the card stands.
- 33' A stunning finish from Ismael Saibari — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 34' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ricardo Pepi on 34 minutes.
- 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Johan Bakayoko on 35.
- 40' PSV is showing some good football. However, PSV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' The travelling PSV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 55' It’s high time Peter Bosz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 60' Matthew Garbett has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Lars Mol. He replaces Raul Paula on 62 minute.
- 65' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Johan Bakayoko makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 71' A tactical swap from PSV — Ivan Perisic on, Johan Bakayoko off on 71 minutes.
- 76' Noa Lang is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for NAC Breda tonight.
- 81' Fresh legs for NAC Breda! Casper Staring comes on to replace Fredrik Jensen.
- 83' Richie Ledezma is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rick Karsdorp at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- Another three points for PSV.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 23
- 2
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 62'
-
20
Fredrik Jensen ↓ Casper Staring 81'
- 99
- 5
- 4
- 7
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 81'
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Lars Mol 62'
Bench
- 10
- 15
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 62'
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 62'
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 81'
- 49
- 17
- 21
-
28
Lars Mol ↑ 62'
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 81'
- 14
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
PSV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 17
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Couhaib Driouech 71'
- 18
- 1
-
2
Rick Karsdorp ↓ Richie Ledezma 83'
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↓ Luuk de Jong 71'
- 34
-
7
Malik Tillman ↓ Isaac Babadi 83'
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Ivan Perisic 71'
- 6
- 32
Bench
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↑ 71'
- 20
- 16
-
5
Ivan Perisic ↑ 71'
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 71'
- 35
- 24
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↑ 83'
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↑ 83'
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Luuk de Jong | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
| Ismael Saibari | 1 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 1 |
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
54%
Draw or PSV
74%
NAC Breda or PSV
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

