NAC Breda vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs PSV — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Match Details
- Referee Van der Eijk
- Assistant 1 Rens Bluemink
- Assistant 2 Erik Koopman
5 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | PSV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | Heracles Almelo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | RKC Waalwijk | H | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Oct | PEC Zwolle | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | NEC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | FC Twente '65 | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 4 G | 1 A |
| Guus Til | 4 G | |
| Ricardo Pepi | 3 G | |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Rat Verlegh Stadion as NAC Breda face off against PSV in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It’s gonna be a card for Boyd Lucassen.
- 10' Richie Ledezma has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 21' What a strike from Ricardo Pepi! The score is 0-1.
- 26' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 103 games and scored 74 goals.
- 32' The referee calls foul for Boy Kemper. He receives a card.
- 33' Ismael Saibari does the damage! The net is bulging and PSV surge ahead!
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ricardo Pepi on 34.
- 35' Johan Bakayoko is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
- 40' Belgium international Jan Van den Bergh has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 50' NAC Breda are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PSV backline.
- 55' PSV come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Peter Bosz will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Raul Paula departs to be replaced by Lars Mol.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Johan Bakayoko makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 65.
- 70' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raul Paula suffering a number of foals already.
- 71' Time for substitution for PSV. Johan Bakayoko is replaced by Ivan Perisic.
- 76' NAC Breda are deployed in a 5-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against PSV's 4-3-3 shape.
- 81' The whistle greets Fredrik Jensen as he departs to be replaced by Casper Staring.
- 83' The crowd applauds Rick Karsdorp as he leaves the pitch. Richie Ledezma steps in for PSV.
- 88' NAC Breda seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- It finishes all square. NAC Breda and PSV share the spoils 0-3.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
5-4-1Starting XI
- 23
- 2
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Dominik Janosek 62'
-
20
Fredrik Jensen ↓ Casper Staring 81'
- 99
- 5
- 4
- 7
-
77
Leo Sauer ↓ Sana Fernandes 81'
- 16
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Lars Mol 62'
Bench
- 10
- 15
-
9
Kacper Kostorz ↑ 62'
- 1
-
39
Dominik Janosek ↑ 62'
-
6
Casper Staring ↑ 81'
- 49
- 17
- 21
-
28
Lars Mol ↑ 62'
-
19
Sana Fernandes ↑ 81'
- 14
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
PSV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 17
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Couhaib Driouech 71'
- 18
- 1
-
2
Rick Karsdorp ↓ Richie Ledezma 83'
-
14
Ricardo Pepi ↓ Luuk de Jong 71'
- 34
-
7
Malik Tillman ↓ Isaac Babadi 83'
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Ivan Perisic 71'
- 6
- 32
Bench
-
9
Luuk de Jong ↑ 71'
- 20
- 16
-
5
Ivan Perisic ↑ 71'
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 71'
- 35
- 24
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↑ 83'
-
26
Isaac Babadi ↑ 83'
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luuk de Jong | 3 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ricardo Pepi | 2 |
| Guus Til | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
| Ismael Saibari | 1 |
| Johan Bakayoko | 1 |
| Kacper Kostorz | 1 |
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
PSV xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
54%
Draw or PSV
74%
NAC Breda or PSV
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: PSV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.7%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 22% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

