Sunday , 15 November 2026

Motherwell FC vs Livingston FC, Premier League 2023-24 RELEGATION ROUND

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 4 May 2024 · 14:00 UTC Fir Park 4,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Theo Bair pen 21' 4–1
Sam Nicholson 45+2' 5–0
Theo Bair 68' 5–0
Dan Casey 74' 5–0
4–1 77' Joel Nouble

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Livingston FC — Premier League at Fir Park.

Match Details

  • Referee David Munro
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Bell (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Craig Ferguson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Livingston FC H 4–1 W
27 Apr Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
13 Apr Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
06 Apr Dundee FC A 3–2 W
30 Mar St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
16 Mar Aberdeen FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Motherwell FC A 1–4 L
27 Apr Ross County FC H 2–0 W
13 Apr Heart of Midlothian FC A 2–4 L
06 Apr Aberdeen FC H 0–0 D
31 Mar Celtic FC H 0–3 L
16 Mar Hibernian FC A 0–3 L

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Motherwell FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Motherwell FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/6
46-60
2/4
61-75
2/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Motherwell FC
Alex Lowry 3 G 1 A
Lukas Fadinger 3 G
Tawanda Maswanhise 2 G 2 A
Seb Palmer-Houlden 2 G
Ibrahim Said 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Fir Park!
  • 5' Livingston FC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lennon Miller is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Livingston FC.
  • 20' Sam Nicholson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Motherwell FC tonight.
  • 21' Theo Bair doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 26' Stephen Kelly, a Scotland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Ayo Obileye has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Liam Kelly made 251 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 46' The whistle greets Jason Holt as he departs to be replaced by Tete Yengi.
  • 47' Brilliant from the ! Sam Nicholson makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 52' Shane Blaney needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 57' Dan Casey has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' Another change for Livingston FC made on 61 minute. Daniel MacKay leaves to be changed by Steven Bradley.
  • 66' It looks surprising Motherwell FC does not make any changes. Tete Yengi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 68' Theo Bair is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the forward.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Lennon Miller.
  • 74' Goal! Dan Casey scores his 8 goal in 161 matches.
  • 74' The whistle greets Bruce Anderson as he departs to be replaced by Andrew Shinnie.
  • 77' GOAL! Joel Nouble fires home to make it 4-1!
  • 82' Livingston FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Moses Ebiye. He replaces Blair Spittal on 84 minute.
  • 85' That looks like a foul for a card for Davor Zdravkovski.
  • 90' Another substitution for Motherwell FC to replace Georgie Gent by Luca Ross on 90 minute.
  • 4-1 the final result. Livingston FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Livingston FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC58% Draw23% Livingston FC19%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Livingston FC
42%
Motherwell FC or Livingston FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Motherwell FC41% Draw42% Livingston FC17%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Livingston FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Livingston FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.