Sunday , 27 September 2026

Montpellier HSC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 14:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 13,691 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Jonathan David pen
Issiaga Sylla 45+2' 1–1
1–2 54' Jonathan David pen
Arnaud Nordin 90+3' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Millot
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2
4 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Lille OSC H 2–2 D
23 Nov AS Saint-Etienne A 0–1 L
10 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–1 W
03 Nov Le Havre AC A 0–1 L
27 Oct Toulouse FC H 0–3 L
20 Oct Olympique de Marseille H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Montpellier HSC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
24 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–0 W
10 Nov OGC Nice A 2–2 D
05 Nov Juventus FC H 1–1 D
01 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Olivier Giroud 1 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 1 G 1 A
Hakon Haraldsson 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade de la Mosson that hosts another battle between Montpellier HSC and Lille OSC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 9' That looks like a foul for a card for Nikola Maksimovic.
  • 14' It looks surprising Montpellier HSC does not make any changes. Jonathan David has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' Montpellier HSC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 24' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ngal'ayel Mukau on 26.
  • 31' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Enzo Tchato has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' The energy levels are beginning to show. Jean-Louis Gasset might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' Against the run of play, Jonathan David has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 47' Issiaga Sylla doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 47' Lille OSC receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
  • 52' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Teji Savanier on 52 minutes.
  • 54' Magnificent from Jonathan David! That is 158 goals in 306 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 59' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 63 minute. Wahbi Khazri leaves to be changed by Junior Ndiaye.
  • 68' Osame Sahraoui is replacing Remy Cabella for the Lille OSC side.
  • 69' Another change for Lille OSC made on 69 minute. Ngal'ayel Mukau leaves to be changed by Hakon Haraldsson.
  • 74' Lille OSC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Mitchel Bakker as he leaves the pitch. Gabriel Gudmundsson steps in for Lille OSC.
  • 81' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Teji Savanier by Tanguy Coulibaly on 81 minute.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Modibo Sagnan. He receives a card.
  • 88' Gabriel Bares is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nikola Maksimovic at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' Lille OSC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Lille OSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Meunier is hanging Matias Fernandez-Pardo on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Lille OSC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Montpellier HSC32% Draw28% Lille OSC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw
59%
Draw or Lille OSC
68%
Montpellier HSC or Lille OSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Montpellier HSC24% Draw45% Lille OSC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap Montpellier HSC covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 20% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.