Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Watford FC A 0–3 L
25 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
17 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
04 Nov Millwall FC H 4–0 W
01 Nov Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
25 Oct Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
18 Oct Hull City AFC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Birmingham City FC
#3 Position #10
15 Points 11
8 Played 8
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 5 / 1
16 Scored 12
12 Conceded 11
+4 GD +1
1.88 PPG 1.38
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G
Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 57% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC57% Draw23% Birmingham City FC20%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
43%
Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC39% Draw43% Birmingham City FC18%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.3%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.