Sunday , 15 November 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Birmingham City FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Leicester City FC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Watford FC A 0–3 L
25 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–1 D
22 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–0 W
17 Oct Ipswich Town FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
04 Nov Millwall FC H 4–0 W
01 Nov Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
25 Oct Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
21 Oct Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
18 Oct Hull City AFC H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Birmingham City FC
#2 Position #1
29 Points 29
15 Played 15
8 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
30 Scored 28
19 Conceded 14
+11 GD +14
1.93 PPG 1.93
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A
Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Jay Stansfield 4 G 1 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC51% Draw26% Birmingham City FC23%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
49%
Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC32% Draw47% Birmingham City FC21%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.