Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mexico vs Ecuador, Worldcup 2026 LAST 32

FIFA World Cup · 2026
2 0
Full Time
Wed 1 Jul 2026 · 01:00 UTC Azteca HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Quinones 22' 1–0
Raul Jimenez 31' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Mexico vs EcuadorWorldcup at Azteca.

  • Mexico 3 games · 9 pts (2026/26)
  • Ecuador 3 games · 4 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Head-to-Head

1
Mexico 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Ecuador

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Ecuador H 2–0 W
25 Jun Czechia A 3–0 W
19 Jun South Korea H 1–0 W
11 Jun South Africa H 2–0 W
30 Nov Saudi Arabia A 2–1 W
26 Nov Argentina A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Mexico A 0–2 L
25 Jun Germany H 2–1 W
21 Jun Curacao H 0–0 D
14 Jun Ivory Coast A 0–1 L
29 Nov Senegal H 1–2 L
25 Nov Netherlands A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Mexico Ecuador
#1 Position #19
9 Points 4
3 Played 3
3 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 2
0 Conceded 2
+6 GD +0
3.00 PPG 1.33
100% Win % 33%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Mexico this season
25% Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season

Mexico are 1st (9 pts). Ecuador are 19th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mexico
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
2/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Mexico launch into their encounter with Ecuador.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Mexico and Ecuador are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Mexico needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Mexico are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ecuador backline.
  • 20' named a 4-1-2-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 22' Goal! Julian Quinones scores his 3 goal in 12 matches.
  • 27' A quiet spell here at Azteca. Ecuador seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 31' Raul Jimenez doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Mexico side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Erik Lira, as he is very good at scoring at Azteca with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' Alan Franco is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Angelo Preciado. He replaces Joel Ordonez on 46 minute.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastián Beccacece might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Mexico in their 4-1-2-3 trying to find a way past Ecuador's compact 4-4-2.
  • 59' Mexico ring the changes. Gilberto Mora has done his job and it is now time for Brian Gutierrez to step up.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 73' Obed Vargas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Romo at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' Ecuador international Yaimar Medina has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 79' Ecuador make a change. John Yeboah trudges off to be replaced by Jordy Caicedo on 79 minutes.
  • 80' Another change for Mexico made on 80 minute. Julian Quinones leaves to be changed by Orbelin Pineda.
  • 85' Both keepers have barely been tested. Mexico and Ecuador are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ray Paez.
  • Another three points for Mexico.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Mexico xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Ecuador xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 79% + Under 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mexico64% Draw26% Ecuador10%
Actual: Mexico win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Mexico or Draw
90%
Draw or Ecuador
36%
Mexico or Ecuador
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mexico41% Draw55% Ecuador4%
Actual: Mexico win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
24.7%
0 – 0
20.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
8%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
4 – 1
1.1%
1 – 2
1%
2 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Mexico

Handicap Mexico covers Push Ecuador covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 20% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 31% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 5% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Mexico keeps clean sheet
74%
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.