Mexico vs Ecuador, Worldcup 2026 LAST 32
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 5 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Canada | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Qatar | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Brazil | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Morocco | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Scotland | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Haiti | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | United States | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Australia | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Paraguay | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Turkey | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 6 |
| 19 | Ecuador | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Curacao | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Netherlands | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Japan | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Sweden | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Belgium | 3 | 5 |
| 26 | Egypt | 3 | 5 |
| 27 | Iran | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | New Zealand | 3 | 1 |
| 29 | Spain | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 |
| 31 | Uruguay | 3 | 2 |
| 32 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 |
| 33 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 34 | Norway | 3 | 6 |
| 35 | Senegal | 3 | 3 |
| 36 | Iraq | 3 | 0 |
| 37 | Argentina | 3 | 9 |
| 38 | Austria | 3 | 4 |
| 39 | Algeria | 3 | 4 |
| 40 | Jordan | 3 | 0 |
| 41 | Colombia | 3 | 7 |
| 42 | Portugal | 3 | 5 |
| 43 | Congo DR | 3 | 4 |
| 44 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 |
| 45 | England | 3 | 7 |
| 46 | Croatia | 3 | 6 |
| 47 | Ghana | 3 | 4 |
| 48 | Panama | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul | Ecuador | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Czechia | A | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jun | South Korea | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Jun | South Africa | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Saudi Arabia | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | Argentina | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Mexico | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #19 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 3 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 1 |
| 6 | Scored | 2 |
| 0 | Conceded | 2 |
| +6 | GD | +0 |
| 3.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Mexico this season
Mexico this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Ecuador this season
Ecuador this season
Mexico are 1st (9 pts). Ecuador are 19th (4 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Mexico
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Ecuador
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Mexico launch into their encounter with Ecuador.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Mexico and Ecuador are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Mexico needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' Mexico are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ecuador backline.
- 20' named a 4-1-2-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 22' Goal! Julian Quinones scores his 3 goal in 12 matches.
- 27' A quiet spell here at Azteca. Ecuador seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 31' Raul Jimenez doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 36' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Mexico side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Erik Lira, as he is very good at scoring at Azteca with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' Alan Franco is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Angelo Preciado. He replaces Joel Ordonez on 46 minute.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Sebastián Beccacece might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Mexico in their 4-1-2-3 trying to find a way past Ecuador's compact 4-4-2.
- 59' Mexico ring the changes. Gilberto Mora has done his job and it is now time for Brian Gutierrez to step up.
- 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 73' Obed Vargas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Luis Romo at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' Ecuador international Yaimar Medina has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 79' Ecuador make a change. John Yeboah trudges off to be replaced by Jordy Caicedo on 79 minutes.
- 80' Another change for Mexico made on 80 minute. Julian Quinones leaves to be changed by Orbelin Pineda.
- 85' Both keepers have barely been tested. Mexico and Ecuador are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ray Paez.
- Another three points for Mexico.
Lineups
Mexico Lineups
4-1-2-3Starting XI
-
9
Raul Jimenez ↓ Santiago Gimenez 73'
- 23
-
25
Roberto Alvarado ↓ Israel Reyes 80'
- 3
- 2
- 5
-
7
Luis Romo ↓ Obed Vargas 73'
- 1
-
19
Gilberto Mora ↓ Brian Gutierrez 59'
- 6
- 16
Bench
-
17
Orbelin Pineda ↑ 80'
- 13
- 4
-
15
Israel Reyes ↑ 80'
- 8
- 10
-
26
Brian Gutierrez ↑ 59'
-
18
Obed Vargas ↑ 73'
-
11
Santiago Gimenez ↑ 73'
- 24
- 21
- 20
- 12
- 14
- 22
Coach
Javier Aguirre
Ecuador Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
9
John Yeboah ↓ Jordy Caicedo 79'
- 13
- 19
-
21
Alan Franco ↓ Yaimar Medina 46'
- 3
- 23
- 1
- 15
- 6
-
20
Nilson Angulo ↓ Ray Paez 79'
-
4
Joel Ordonez ↓ Angelo Preciado 46'
Bench
- 7
- 25
-
17
Angelo Preciado ↑ 46'
-
16
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 79'
- 2
- 5
- 8
- 12
-
11
Kevin Rodriguez ↑ 59'
-
26
Yaimar Medina ↑ 46'
-
10
Ray Paez ↑ 79'
- 14
- 24
- 18
- 22
Coach
Sebastián Beccacece
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
Mexico xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3
Ecuador xG
I would bet for:
Under — clean sheet likely 79% + Under 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mexico win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 1.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 2.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 3.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Mexico or Draw
90%
Draw or Ecuador
36%
Mexico or Ecuador
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Mexico win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
24.7%
0 – 0
20.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
8%
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
2.9%
3 – 1
2.8%
4 – 1
1.1%
1 – 2
1%
2 – 2
0.9%
Asian Handicap — Mexico
| Handicap | Mexico covers | Push | Ecuador covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 20% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| -0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +1 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
Mexico keeps clean sheet
74%
✓
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.