Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mexico vs South Africa, Worldcup 2026 GROUP STAGE

FIFA World Cup · 2026
2 0
Full Time
Thu 11 Jun 2026 · 19:00 UTC Azteca 80,824 HT 45' · FT 45'
Julian Quinones 9' 1–0
Raul Jimenez 67' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Mexico vs South AfricaWorldcup at Azteca.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
  • Assistant 1 Bruno Raphael Pires
  • Assistant 2 Bruno Boschilia
15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Head-to-Head

1
Mexico 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals South Africa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun South Africa H 2–0 W
30 Nov Saudi Arabia A 2–1 W
26 Nov Argentina A 0–2 L
22 Nov Poland H 0–0 D
02 Jul Brazil A 0–2 L
27 Jun Sweden H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jun Mexico A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Mexico South Africa
#1 Position #2
9 Points 4
3 Played 3
3 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 2
0 Conceded 3
+6 GD -1
3.00 PPG 1.33
100% Win % 33%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Mexico this season
25% Clean Sheets
South Africa this season

Mexico are 1st (9 pts). South Africa are 2nd (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mexico
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/
46-60
2/
61-75
2/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
South Africa
0-15
/2
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Mexico kicks off things out of here…
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Mexico xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 South Africa xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 78% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mexico65% Draw24% South Africa11%
Actual: Mexico win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 31%
69%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Mexico or Draw
89%
Draw or South Africa
35%
Mexico or South Africa
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mexico46% Draw50% South Africa4%
Actual: Mexico win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
23%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
16.3%
3 – 0
10%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
4.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 1
3.3%
4 – 1
1.5%
5 – 0
1.4%
1 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Mexico

Handicap Mexico covers Push South Africa covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 22% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 29% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Mexico keeps clean sheet
74%
South Africa keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.