Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mantova 1911 SSD vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Mantova 1911 SSD
1 – 0
Full Time
Padova Calcio
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mantova 1911 SSD vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Paride Tremolada (Italy)
14 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 3.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

2
Mantova 1911 SSD 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Padova Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-08 Mantova 1911 SSD 1–0 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Mantova 1911 SSD
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Padova Calcio H 1–0 W
02 Nov UC Sampdoria A 1–0 W
29 Oct US Catanzaro H 1–3 L
26 Oct SSC Bari A 0–1 L
18 Oct FC Sudtirol H 1–1 D
04 Oct Calcio Avellino SSD A 0–0 D
Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov Mantova 1911 SSD A 0–1 L
01 Nov FC Sudtirol H 1–1 D
29 Oct Spezia Calcio A 1–1 D
26 Oct SS Juve Stabia H 2–2 D
19 Oct US Catanzaro A 1–0 W
04 Oct SSC Bari A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Mantova 1911 SSD Padova Calcio
#9 Position #10
46 Points 46
38 Played 38
13 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 16
45 Scored 39
57 Conceded 49
-12 GD -10
1.21 PPG 1.21
34% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Mantova 1911 SSD this season
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Mantova 1911 SSD are 9th (46 pts). Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Mantova 1911 SSD Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mantova 1911 SSD46% Draw30% Padova Calcio24%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Mantova 1911 SSD or Draw
76%
Draw or Padova Calcio
54%
Mantova 1911 SSD or Padova Calcio
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Mantova 1911 SSD28% Draw53% Padova Calcio19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Mantova 1911 SSD

Handicap Mantova 1911 SSD covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.