Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Bari vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
SSC Bari
2 – 1
Full Time
Padova Calcio
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
7 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSC Bari 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Padova Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-04 SSC Bari 2–1 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

SSC Bari
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Padova Calcio H 2–1 W
30 Sep ACD Virtus Entella A 2–2 D
27 Sep UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
19 Sep Palermo FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep Modena FC 2018 A 0–3 L
31 Aug AC Monza H 1–1 D
Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct SSC Bari A 1–2 L
30 Sep Calcio Avellino SSD H 2–2 D
27 Sep AC Monza A 1–0 W
21 Sep ACD Virtus Entella H 2–1 W
13 Sep Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
31 Aug Carrarese Calcio A 0–0 D

Season Stats

SSC Bari Padova Calcio
#17 Position #10
40 Points 46
38 Played 38
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 16
38 Scored 39
60 Conceded 49
-22 GD -10
1.05 PPG 1.21
26% Win % 32%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts). Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Bari
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: SSC Bari or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari45% Draw28% Padova Calcio27%
Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
73%
Draw or Padova Calcio
55%
SSC Bari or Padova Calcio
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari29% Draw49% Padova Calcio22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
10.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 22% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.