Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSC Bari vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
2 1
Full Time
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Padova CalcioSerie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSC Bari 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Padova Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Padova Calcio H 2–1 W
30 Sep ACD Virtus Entella A 2–2 D
27 Sep UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
19 Sep Palermo FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep Modena FC 2018 A 0–3 L
31 Aug AC Monza H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct SSC Bari A 1–2 L
30 Sep Calcio Avellino SSD H 2–2 D
27 Sep AC Monza A 1–0 W
21 Sep ACD Virtus Entella H 2–1 W
13 Sep Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
31 Aug Carrarese Calcio A 0–0 D

Season Stats

SSC Bari Padova Calcio
#4 Position #13
40 Points 0
38 Played 0
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-22 GD +0
1.05 PPG
26% Win %

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Bari are 4th (40 pts). Padova Calcio are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.78 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + SSC Bari or Draw 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari42% Draw38% Padova Calcio20%
Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
80%
Draw or Padova Calcio
58%
SSC Bari or Padova Calcio
62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari22% Draw67% Padova Calcio11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31%
1 – 0
20.3%
0 – 1
12%
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.6%
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.2%
3 – 1
1.2%
0 – 3
0.5%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 25% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 15% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
62%
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.