Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SSC Bari vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 4.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
SSC Bari 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Padova Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Padova Calcio H 2–1 W
30 Sep ACD Virtus Entella A 2–2 D
27 Sep UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
19 Sep Palermo FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep Modena FC 2018 A 0–3 L
31 Aug AC Monza H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct SSC Bari A 1–2 L
30 Sep Calcio Avellino SSD H 2–2 D
27 Sep AC Monza A 1–0 W
21 Sep ACD Virtus Entella H 2–1 W
13 Sep Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L
31 Aug Carrarese Calcio A 0–0 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Padova Calcio
Pietro Fusi 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.42 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari47% Draw28% Padova Calcio25%
Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
75%
Draw or Padova Calcio
53%
SSC Bari or Padova Calcio
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari32% Draw49% Padova Calcio19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.