Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester United FC vs Liverpool FC, FA Cup 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sun 17 Mar 2024 · 15:30 UTC Old Trafford HT 45' · FT 45'
Scott McTominay 10' 1–0
1–2 45+2' Mohamed Salah
Antony 86' 2–2
2–3 105' Harvey Elliott
Marcus Rashford 113' 3–3
Amad Diallo 120+1' 4–3

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester United FC vs Liverpool FCFA Cup at Old Trafford.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Liverpool FC H 4–3 W
09 Mar Everton FC H 2–0 W
03 Mar Manchester City FC A 1–3 L
28 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 1–0 W
24 Feb Fulham FC H 1–2 L
18 Feb Luton Town FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Mar Manchester United FC A 3–4 L
14 Mar AC Sparta Praha H 6–1 W
10 Mar Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
07 Mar AC Sparta Praha A 5–1 W
02 Mar Nottingham Forest FC A 1–0 W
28 Feb Southampton FC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Manchester United FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Manchester United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester United FC or Liverpool FC 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester United FC39% Draw24% Liverpool FC37%
Actual: Manchester United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Manchester United FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Liverpool FC
61%
Manchester United FC or Liverpool FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester United FC27% Draw40% Liverpool FC33%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Manchester United FC

Handicap Manchester United FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Manchester United FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.