Saturday , 14 November 2026

Manchester City FC vs Chelsea FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 8 Jan 2023 · 16:30 UTC Etihad Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Chelsea FC — FA Cup at Etihad Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Chelsea FC H 4–0 W
05 Jan Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
31 Dec Everton FC H 1–1 D
28 Dec Leeds United FC A 3–1 W
12 Nov Brentford FC H 1–2 L
05 Nov Fulham FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Manchester City FC A 0–4 L
05 Jan Manchester City FC H 0–1 L
01 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
27 Dec AFC Bournemouth H 2–0 W
12 Nov Newcastle United FC A 0–1 L
06 Nov Arsenal FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Manchester City FC and Chelsea FC has kicked off!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Manchester City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' Chelsea FC is showing some good football. However, Chelsea FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Manchester City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Chelsea FC's shape.
  • 20' The 26-year-old Sergio Gomez has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 23' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Riyad Mahrez makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Julian Alvarez makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 30' Goal! Julian Alvarez scores his 98 goal in 215 matches.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 38' The deadlock is broken! Phil Foden gets on the scoresheet on 38 minutes.
  • 43' Azpilicueta is a natural centre-back and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 46' Chelsea FC make a change. Mateo Kovacic trudges off to be replaced by David Fofana on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Manchester City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 54' Rodri picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' Manchester City FC make a change. Rodri trudges off to be replaced by Kalvin Phillips on 58 minutes.
  • 59' Another change for Manchester City FC made on 59 minute. Sergio Gomez leaves to be changed by Joao Cancelo.
  • 62' Conor Gallagher has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 62.
  • 63' Azpilicueta gets the nod from Chelsea FC. He replaces Jorginho and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Bernardo Silva is booked for Manchester City FC — Yellow card on 70.
  • 73' Carney Chukwuemeka is replacing Mason Mount for the Chelsea FC side.
  • 78' Kepa Arrizabalaga has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' Riyad Mahrez makes no mistake. The score reads 5-0 and Manchester City FC are in front.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Rico Lewis. He replaces Bernardo Silva on 86 minute.
  • 87' Joao Cancelo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 87.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.75 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 61% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC61% Draw24% Chelsea FC15%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Chelsea FC
39%
Manchester City FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC39% Draw48% Chelsea FC13%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14%
1 – 1
12%
2 – 0
12%
0 – 0
11%
2 – 1
9%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 18% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 25% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.