Sunday , 16 August 2026

MSV Duisburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2015

1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015
MSV Duisburg
1 – 0
Full Time
FC Erzgebirge Aue
Sat 16 Apr 2016 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 2.45
Draw 3.60
FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.75

Head-to-Head

4
1
1
MSV Duisburg 6 games · Avg 1.7 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue
Last 5 meetings
2016-04-16 MSV Duisburg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-11-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 MSV Duisburg 2015-04-18 MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-11-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr FC Erzgebirge Aue H 1–0 W
09 Apr Wroxham FC A 2–1 W
02 Apr SV Linx 1949 A 2–4 L
20 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
12 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
05 Mar SV Drochtersen/Assel H 3–3 D
FC Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Apr MSV Duisburg A 0–1 L
09 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 1–3 L
02 Apr RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
20 Mar SV Drochtersen/Assel H 0–2 L
12 Mar 1. FC Köln A 3–3 D
05 Mar SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen H 5–1 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2016-04-16 MSV Duisburg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2015-11-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 MSV Duisburg 2015-04-18 MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-11-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 MSV Duisburg

MSV Duisburg Form

2016-04-16 MSV Duisburg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue W 2016-04-09 Wroxham FC 1–2 MSV Duisburg W 2016-04-02 SV Linx 1949 4–2 MSV Duisburg L 2016-03-20 MSV Duisburg 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2016-03-12 RB Leipzig 2–2 MSV Duisburg D 2016-03-05 MSV Duisburg 3–3 SV Drochtersen/Assel D

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2016-04-16 MSV Duisburg 1–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2016-04-09 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg L 2016-04-02 RB Leipzig 2–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2016-03-20 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 SV Drochtersen/Assel L 2016-03-12 1. FC Köln 3–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2016-03-05 FC Erzgebirge Aue 5–1 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.57 MSV Duisburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
MSV Duisburg53% Draw26% FC Erzgebirge Aue21%
Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw
78%
Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue
47%
MSV Duisburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue
74%

Half-Time Result

MSV Duisburg34% Draw47% FC Erzgebirge Aue19%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap MSV Duisburg covers Push FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.