MSV Duisburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

MSV Duisburg

2 – 1

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sat 18 Apr 2015 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 2.20

Draw 3.40

FC Erzgebirge Aue 3.30

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 6 games · Avg 1.7 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2015-04-18 MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-11-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	2–1	W
11 Apr	CD Santa Clara	A	1–2	L
05 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–0	D
21 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	0–2	L
14 Mar	SV Linx 1949	H	0–2	L
07 Mar	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–0	W

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	MSV Duisburg	A	1–2	L
12 Apr	Wroxham FC	H	3–2	W
04 Apr	1. CfR Pforzheim	A	1–3	L
21 Mar	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–1	W
13 Mar	SV Drochtersen/Assel	A	0–4	L
06 Mar	SV Sandhausen 1916	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! MSV Duisburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — let the football do the talking.
Another three points for MSV Duisburg.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

1.54 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

MSV Duisburg53% Draw27% FC Erzgebirge Aue20%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.41

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

80%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

47%

MSV Duisburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue

73%

Half-Time Result

MSV Duisburg36% Draw49% FC Erzgebirge Aue15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

12.8%

0 – 0

11.1%

2 – 0

10.3%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

6.7%

3 – 0

5.2%

1 – 2

3 – 1

4.7%

2 – 2

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	24%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.