FC Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg, 2014
Overview
Match Preview
FC Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .
- FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
- MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
Match Details
Closing Odds (1X2)
FC Erzgebirge Aue
2.38
Draw
3.50
MSV Duisburg
2.80
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | MSV Duisburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | Wroxham FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | 1. CfR Pforzheim | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | FC Hansa Rostock | A | 5–4 | W |
| 18 Oct | SV Drochtersen/Assel | H | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Oct | SV Sandhausen 1916 | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | FC Erzgebirge Aue | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | CD Santa Clara | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SV Linx 1949 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | 1. CfR Pforzheim | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FC Erzgebirge Aue to score. At the same time, MSV Duisburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- Another three points for MSV Duisburg.
Lineups
FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups
MSV Duisburg Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
FC Erzgebirge Aue Form
2014-11-23
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0–1
MSV Duisburg
L
2014-11-08
Wroxham FC
2–0
FC Erzgebirge Aue
L
2014-11-01
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0–4
1. CfR Pforzheim
L
2014-10-25
FC Hansa Rostock
4–5
FC Erzgebirge Aue
W
2014-10-18
FC Erzgebirge Aue
3–3
SV Drochtersen/Assel
D
2014-10-03
SV Sandhausen 1916
3–2
FC Erzgebirge Aue
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.9
FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
MSV Duisburg xG
I would bet for:
MSV Duisburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: MSV Duisburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw
59%
Draw or MSV Duisburg
72%
FC Erzgebirge Aue or MSV Duisburg
68%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
1.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue
| Handicap | FC Erzgebirge Aue covers | Push | MSV Duisburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

