FC Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg, 2014
Overview
Match Preview
FC Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .
- FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts
- MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
Match Details
Closing Odds (1X2)
FC Erzgebirge Aue
2.38
Draw
3.50
MSV Duisburg
2.80
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | MSV Duisburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Nov | Wroxham FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Nov | 1. CfR Pforzheim | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | FC Hansa Rostock | A | 5–4 | W |
| 18 Oct | SV Drochtersen/Assel | H | 3–3 | D |
| 03 Oct | SV Sandhausen 1916 | A | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | FC Erzgebirge Aue | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | CD Santa Clara | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | SV Linx 1949 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | 1. CfR Pforzheim | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
17%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at . FC Erzgebirge Aue are looking to make home advantage count against MSV Duisburg.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from MSV Duisburg to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups
MSV Duisburg Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
FC Erzgebirge Aue Form
2014-11-23
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0–1
MSV Duisburg
L
2014-11-08
Wroxham FC
2–0
FC Erzgebirge Aue
L
2014-11-01
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0–4
1. CfR Pforzheim
L
2014-10-25
FC Hansa Rostock
4–5
FC Erzgebirge Aue
W
2014-10-18
FC Erzgebirge Aue
3–3
SV Drochtersen/Assel
D
2014-10-03
SV Sandhausen 1916
3–2
FC Erzgebirge Aue
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.9
FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
MSV Duisburg xG
I would bet for:
MSV Duisburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: MSV Duisburg win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw
59%
Draw or MSV Duisburg
72%
FC Erzgebirge Aue or MSV Duisburg
68%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
1.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue
| Handicap | FC Erzgebirge Aue covers | Push | MSV Duisburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

