Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg, 2015

1. Bundesliga 2015/16 · 2015
FC Erzgebirge Aue
0 – 4
Full Time
MSV Duisburg
Sat 21 Nov 2015 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Erzgebirge Aue 1.95
Draw 3.80
MSV Duisburg 3.60

Head-to-Head

1
1
4
FC Erzgebirge Aue 6 games · Avg 1.7 goals MSV Duisburg
Last 5 meetings
2015-11-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 MSV Duisburg 2015-04-18 MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-11-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

FC Erzgebirge Aue
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov MSV Duisburg H 0–4 L
07 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 0–4 L
01 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–0 W
24 Oct SV Drochtersen/Assel A 3–4 L
18 Oct 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
03 Oct SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen A 2–2 D
MSV Duisburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov FC Erzgebirge Aue A 4–0 W
08 Nov Wroxham FC H 1–2 L
31 Oct SV Linx 1949 H 3–3 D
25 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–5 L
17 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
04 Oct SV Drochtersen/Assel A 1–1 D

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2015-11-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 MSV Duisburg 2015-04-18 MSV Duisburg 2–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2014-11-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–1 MSV Duisburg

FC Erzgebirge Aue Form

2015-11-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 MSV Duisburg L 2015-11-07 VfL Wolfsburg 4–0 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2015-11-01 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2–0 RB Leipzig W 2015-10-24 SV Drochtersen/Assel 4–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2015-10-18 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 1. FC Koln W 2015-10-03 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue D

MSV Duisburg Form

2015-11-21 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–4 MSV Duisburg W 2015-11-08 MSV Duisburg 1–2 Wroxham FC L 2015-10-31 MSV Duisburg 3–3 SV Linx 1949 D 2015-10-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 MSV Duisburg L 2015-10-17 MSV Duisburg 0–2 RB Leipzig L 2015-10-04 SV Drochtersen/Assel 1–1 MSV Duisburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.13 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 MSV Duisburg xG
I would bet for: MSV Duisburg or Draw 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Erzgebirge Aue28% Draw28% MSV Duisburg44%
Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw
55%
Draw or MSV Duisburg
72%
FC Erzgebirge Aue or MSV Duisburg
72%

Half-Time Result

FC Erzgebirge Aue20% Draw45% MSV Duisburg35%

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Erzgebirge Aue

Handicap FC Erzgebirge Aue covers Push MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 22% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.