Cardiff City FC vs Stevenage FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Cardiff City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Stevenage FC

Mon 29 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Stevenage FC — League One .

Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)
Stevenage FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Charles Breakspear

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Stevenage FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-29 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Stevenage FC 2025-12-09 Stevenage FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Stevenage FC	H	2–1	W
26 Dec	Exeter City FC	H	1–0	W
20 Dec	Lincoln City FC	A	1–2	L
13 Dec	Doncaster Rovers FC	H	4–3	W
09 Dec	Stevenage FC	A	1–0	W
06 Dec	Huddersfield Town AFC	H	3–2	W

Stevenage FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Cardiff City FC	A	1–2	L
26 Dec	AFC Wimbledon	A	0–0	D
20 Dec	Burton Albion FC	H	2–2	D
13 Dec	Stockport County FC	A	3–1	W
09 Dec	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
29 Nov	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC		Stevenage FC
#2	Position	#6
91	Points	75
46	Played	46
27 / 10 / 9	W / D / L	21 / 12 / 13
90	Scored	49
50	Conceded	46
+40	GD	+3
1.98	PPG	1.63
59%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts). Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cardiff City FC to score. At the same time, Stevenage FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Stevenage FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.67 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Stevenage FC xG

I would bet for: Cardiff City FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC57% Draw25% Stevenage FC18%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.56

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Stevenage FC

43%

Cardiff City FC or Stevenage FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC38% Draw47% Stevenage FC15%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 0

12.1%

2 – 0

10.5%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

4 – 0

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Stevenage FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	17%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	24%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.