Saturday , 14 November 2026

Stevenage FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Stevenage FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
27 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 3–2 W
20 Sep Exeter City FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Mansfield Town FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
23 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Blackpool FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–3 L
13 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
30 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Stevenage FC Luton Town FC
#16 Position #4
16 Points 24
12 Played 14
4 / 4 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 4
17 Scored 27
13 Conceded 21
+4 GD +6
1.33 PPG 1.71
33% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Stevenage FC are 16th (16 pts). Luton Town FC are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/5
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Luton Town FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/2
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Josh Magennis 3 G 4 A
Daniel Kemp 3 G 2 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G
Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 7 G 2 A
Jamie Donley 4 G 3 A
Callum Marshall 4 G
Kasey Palmer 3 G 4 A
Jake Richards 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Stevenage FC and Luton Town FC get this one started.
  • Stevenage FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Stevenage FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Stevenage FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC57% Draw24% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Luton Town FC
43%
Stevenage FC or Luton Town FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC40% Draw44% Luton Town FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.