Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Stevenage FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Luton Town FC — League One .

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
1
Stevenage FC 3 games · Avg 2.7 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
27 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 3–2 W
20 Sep Exeter City FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Mansfield Town FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
23 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Blackpool FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–3 L
13 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
30 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Stevenage FC Luton Town FC
#13 Position #16
9 Points 8
7 Played 7
2 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
11 Scored 12
8 Conceded 14
+3 GD -2
1.29 PPG 1.14
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Stevenage FC are 13th (9 pts). Luton Town FC are 16th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Luton Town FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stevenage FC
Daniel Kemp 3 G 1 A
Oliver Sanderson 3 G
Josh Magennis 2 G 1 A
Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 4 G 1 A
Kasey Palmer 2 G 2 A
Callum Marshall 2 G
Jake Richards 1 G 1 A
Gideon Kodua 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

Stevenage FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.24 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Stevenage FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC64% Draw21% Luton Town FC15%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Luton Town FC
36%
Stevenage FC or Luton Town FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stevenage FC48% Draw40% Luton Town FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
3 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 23% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.