Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stevenage FC vs Luton Town FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stevenage FC vs Luton Town FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Stevenage FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–0 W
27 Sep Leyton Orient FC A 3–2 W
20 Sep Exeter City FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Mansfield Town FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
23 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Stevenage FC A 0–2 L
30 Sep Blackpool FC A 2–2 D
27 Sep Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–0 W
20 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–3 L
13 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–3 L
30 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Stevenage FC Luton Town FC
#6 Position #7
75 Points 74
46 Played 46
21 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 21 / 11 / 14
49 Scored 68
46 Conceded 56
+3 GD +12
1.63 PPG 1.61
46% Win % 46%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Stevenage FC are 6th (75 pts). Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Stevenage FC kicks off things out of here…
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Stevenage FC players.

Lineups

Stevenage FC Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.55 Stevenage FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC55% Draw26% Luton Town FC19%
Actual: Stevenage FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Stevenage FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Luton Town FC
45%
Stevenage FC or Luton Town FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Stevenage FC37% Draw49% Luton Town FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Stevenage FC

Handicap Stevenage FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.