Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2023-24
Sat 4 Nov 2023 · 15:00 UTC New Plough Lane 4,975 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ali Al-Hamadi 23' 1–0
James Tilley 45+2' 2–0
James Tilley 61' 3–0
Josh Davison 65' 4–0
5–1 76' Robert Street

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Cheltenham Town FCFA Cup at New Plough Lane.

Match Details

  • Referee Alan Young
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Robinson (England)
  • Assistant 2 Dan Cook

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Cheltenham Town FC H 5–1 W
15 Nov Weymouth FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Weymouth FC A 1–1 D
30 Apr Accrington Stanley FC H 3–4 L
23 Apr Fleetwood Town FC A 1–1 D
18 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov AFC Wimbledon A 1–5 L
28 Oct Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
24 Oct Blackpool FC A 2–3 L
21 Oct Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
07 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
03 Oct Fleetwood Town FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AFC Wimbledon this season
33% Clean Sheets
Cheltenham Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cheltenham Town FC
Isaac Hutchinson 3 G 1 A
Jordan Thomas 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22 AFC Wimbledon xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 Cheltenham Town FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon54% Draw22% Cheltenham Town FC24%
Actual: AFC Wimbledon win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw
76%
Draw or Cheltenham Town FC
46%
AFC Wimbledon or Cheltenham Town FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Wimbledon40% Draw39% Cheltenham Town FC21%
Actual: AFC Wimbledon win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 2
5.8%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap AFC Wimbledon covers Push Cheltenham Town FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 16% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 20% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet
24%
Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.