Lincoln City FC vs Wrexham AFC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Lincoln City FC vs Wrexham AFC — League One at LNER Stadium.
- Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)
- Wrexham AFC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
- Assistant 1 Oliver Bickle
- Assistant 2 Andrew Ellis (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Wrexham AFC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Apr | Stockport County FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Apr | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Apr | Reading FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May | Lincoln City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | Blackpool FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Apr | Burton Albion FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Wrexham AFC gets underway.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wrexham AFC that had 115 games and scored 101 goals.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lincoln City FC and Wrexham AFC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Lincoln City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' Ethan Erhahon has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 289 appearances.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phil Parkinson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 53' The England midfielder Elliot Lee breaks the deadlock on 53 minutes. 0-1!
- 58' George Dobson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 61' Assisted by James McClean with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ryan Longman makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 62' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Longman argues furiously but the card stands.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Jack Moylan. He replaces Joe Gardner on 64 minute.
- 65' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for James McClean.
- 65' Lincoln City FC make a change. Ben House trudges off to be replaced by Tom Bayliss on 65 minutes.
- 70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 71' Ryan Barnett gets the nod from Wrexham AFC. He replaces Ryan Longman and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Steven Fletcher is ready to make an impact after coming on for Elliot Lee at the 72 minute mark.
- 73' The referee calls foul for Recco Hackett-Fairchild. He receives a card.
- 74' Fresh legs for Lincoln City FC! Freddie Draper comes on to replace Ethan Erhahon.
- 76' The Wrexham AFC bench stirs into life. Oliver Rathbone is withdrawn and Thomas O'Connor gets his opportunity.
- 81' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 85' A change in the Wrexham AFC ranks — Sam Smith exits the field as Jack Marriott enters on 85.
- 90' James McClean is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lincoln City FC tonight.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Wrexham AFC take all three points.
Lineups
Lincoln City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 2
- 15
- 22
- 25
-
6
Ethan Erhahon ↓ Freddie Draper 74'
- 11
-
18
Ben House ↓ Tom Bayliss 65'
- 23
- 1
-
32
Joe Gardner ↓ Jack Moylan 64'
Bench
- 14
- 5
-
8
Tom Bayliss ↑ 65'
- 31
-
34
Freddie Draper ↑ 74'
-
28
Jack Moylan ↑ 64'
- 36
Coach
Michael Skubala
Wrexham AFC Lineups
Starting XI
- 37
- 7
- 24
- 15
-
28
Sam Smith ↓ Jack Marriott 85'
- 20
-
38
Elliot Lee ↓ Steven Fletcher 72'
- 4
-
47
Ryan Longman ↓ Ryan Barnett 71'
- 3
- 1
Bench
-
11
Jack Marriott ↑ 85'
-
26
Steven Fletcher ↑ 72'
- 5
-
29
Ryan Barnett ↑ 71'
- 13
-
6
Thomas O'Connor ↑ 76'
- 23
Coach
Phil Parkinson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 1 |
| Ryan Longman | 1 |
Lincoln City FC Form
2025-05-03
Lincoln City FC
0–2
Wrexham AFC
L
2025-04-26
Stockport County FC
3–2
Lincoln City FC
L
2025-04-21
Lincoln City FC
4–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2025-04-18
Reading FC
0–1
Lincoln City FC
W
2025-04-12
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Shrewsbury Town FC
D
2025-04-05
Charlton Athletic FC
2–2
Lincoln City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.95
Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Wrexham AFC xG
I would bet for:
Wrexham AFC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wrexham AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Lincoln City FC or Draw
57%
Draw or Wrexham AFC
73%
Lincoln City FC or Wrexham AFC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC
| Handicap | Lincoln City FC covers | Push | Wrexham AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 23% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.