Lincoln City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Lincoln City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC — League One at LNER Stadium.
- Lincoln City FC 46 games · 103 pts (2026/27)
- Bolton Wanderers FC 46 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Adam Burgess (England)
- Assistant 2 Stephen Wade
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 4 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 5 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 6 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 7 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Stockport County FC | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Bradford City AFC | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Luton Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Cambridge United FC | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Mansfield Town FC | 1 | 3 |
| 14 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 1 | 3 |
| 15 | Bromley FC | 1 | 3 |
| 16 | Oxford United FC | 1 | 1 |
| 17 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 1 | 1 |
| 18 | Stevenage FC | 1 | 1 |
| 19 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 20 | Blackpool FC | 1 | 1 |
| 21 | Burton Albion FC | 1 | 1 |
| 22 | Leicester City FC | 1 | 1 |
| 23 | Notts County FC | 1 | 1 |
| 24 | Reading FC | 1 | 0 |
| 25 | Wigan Athletic FC | 1 | 0 |
| 26 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 1 | 0 |
| 27 | Leyton Orient FC | 1 | 0 |
| 28 | Barnsley FC | 1 | 0 |
| 29 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 1 | 0 |
| 30 | Peterborough United FC | 1 | 0 |
| 31 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Bolton Wanderers FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Apr | Reading FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Apr | Huddersfield Town AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Wycombe Wanderers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr | Lincoln City FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Apr | Wycombe Wanderers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Barnsley FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 08 Apr | Rotherham United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Apr | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Apr | Wigan Athletic FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Lincoln City FC | Bolton Wanderers FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 103 | Points | 75 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 31 / 10 / 5 | W / D / L | 19 / 18 / 9 |
| 89 | Scored | 70 |
| 41 | Conceded | 52 |
| +48 | GD | +18 |
| 2.24 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 67% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Lincoln City FC are 1st (103 pts). Bolton Wanderers FC are 3rd (75 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at LNER Stadium. Lincoln City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Bolton Wanderers FC.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 10' Brilliant from the forward! Erik Ring makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 18' A stunning finish from James Collins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lincoln City FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 28' Joel Randall has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' A goal from the England international Jay Matete! He fires home on 29 to make it 2-1!
- 34' Sean Roughan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lincoln City FC tonight.
- 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gethin Jones.
- 38' Alex Murphy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 38 minutes.
- 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lincoln City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 46 minute. Sonny Sharples leaves to be changed by Kyle Dempsey.
- 51' It’s high time Michael Skubala made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 53' The deadlock is broken! James Collins gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
- 58' Lincoln City FC have won 382 goals from 318 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 61' Recco Hackett-Fairchild does the damage! The net is bulging and Lincoln City FC surge ahead!
- 63' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Ethan Erhahon departs to be replaced by Conor McGrandles.
- 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Hamer on 64 minutes.
- 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gethin Jones made 289 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 71' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Erik Ring by Jack Moylan on 71 minute.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Tom Bayliss. He replaces Recco Hackett-Fairchild on 72 minute.
- 73' Poor challenge from Ben House. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lincoln City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 79' Bolton Wanderers FC ring the changes. George Johnston has done his job and it is now time for Kion Etete to step up.
- 82' A tactical swap from Lincoln City FC — Freddie Draper on, James Collins off on 82 minutes.
- 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 90' The referee shows Bolton Wanderers FC player a card on 90.
- Bolton Wanderers FC will have plenty to reflect on. Lincoln City FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Lincoln City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 2
- 5
- 22
-
25
James Collins ↓ Freddie Draper 82'
- 6
- 11
-
18
Ben House ↓ Paudie O'Connor 82'
- 23
- 1
-
12
Erik Ring ↓ Jack Moylan 71'
Bench
-
14
Conor McGrandles ↑ 63'
-
15
Paudie O'Connor ↑ 82'
-
8
Tom Bayliss ↑ 72'
- 31
-
34
Freddie Draper ↑ 82'
- 32
-
28
Jack Moylan ↑ 71'
Coach
Michael Skubala
Bolton Wanderers FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
2
Gethin Jones ↓ Joel Randall 79'
- 19
-
6
George Johnston ↓ Kion Etete 79'
- 28
- 4
- 21
- 12
- 3
-
48
Sonny Sharples ↓ Kyle Dempsey 46'
- 56
Bench
-
32
Kyle Dempsey ↑ 46'
- 45
-
31
Joel Randall ↑ 79'
- 20
-
29
Kion Etete ↑ 79'
- 17
- 5
Coach
Steven Schumacher
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jay Matete | 3 |
| John Akinde | 2 |
| James Collins | 2 |
| Eoin Toal | 2 |
| Ben House | 1 |
| Victor Adeboyejo | 1 |
| Joe Morrell | 1 |
| Jack Iredale | 1 |
Head to Head
Lincoln City FC Form
2025-04-21
Lincoln City FC
4–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
2025-04-18
Reading FC
0–1
Lincoln City FC
W
2025-04-12
Lincoln City FC
1–1
Shrewsbury Town FC
D
2025-04-05
Charlton Athletic FC
2–2
Lincoln City FC
D
2025-04-01
Lincoln City FC
1–0
Huddersfield Town AFC
W
2025-03-29
Wycombe Wanderers FC
1–0
Lincoln City FC
L
Bolton Wanderers FC Form
2025-04-21
Lincoln City FC
4–2
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2025-04-18
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–2
Wycombe Wanderers FC
L
2025-04-12
Barnsley FC
4–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
L
2025-04-08
Bolton Wanderers FC
0–1
Rotherham United FC
L
2025-04-05
Bolton Wanderers FC
1–0
Bristol Rovers FC
W
2025-04-01
Wigan Athletic FC
0–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03
Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Lincoln City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Lincoln City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
47%
Lincoln City FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC
| Handicap | Lincoln City FC covers | Push | Bolton Wanderers FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 21% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

