Sunday , 16 August 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Mon 21 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC LNER Stadium 10,240 HT 45' · FT 45'
Erik Ring 10' 1–0
James Collins pen 18' 2–0
2–1 29' Jay Matete
2–2 38' Alex Murphy
James Collins 53' 3–2

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC H 4–2 W
18 Apr Reading FC A 1–0 W
12 Apr Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–1 D
05 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 2–2 D
01 Apr Huddersfield Town AFC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Lincoln City FC A 2–4 L
18 Apr Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–2 L
12 Apr Barnsley FC A 1–4 L
08 Apr Rotherham United FC H 0–1 L
05 Apr Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
01 Apr Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Lincoln City FC Bolton Wanderers FC
#1 Position #3
103 Points 75
46 Played 46
31 / 10 / 5 W / D / L 19 / 18 / 9
89 Scored 70
41 Conceded 52
+48 GD +18
2.24 PPG 1.63
67% Win % 41%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Lincoln City FC are 1st (103 pts). Bolton Wanderers FC are 3rd (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at LNER Stadium. Lincoln City FC are looking to make home advantage count against Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Brilliant from the forward! Erik Ring makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' A stunning finish from James Collins — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Lincoln City FC and Bolton Wanderers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 28' Joel Randall has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' A goal from the England international Jay Matete! He fires home on 29 to make it 2-1!
  • 34' Sean Roughan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lincoln City FC tonight.
  • 36' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gethin Jones.
  • 38' Alex Murphy has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 38 minutes.
  • 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lincoln City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 46 minute. Sonny Sharples leaves to be changed by Kyle Dempsey.
  • 51' It’s high time Michael Skubala made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 53' The deadlock is broken! James Collins gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
  • 58' Lincoln City FC have won 382 goals from 318 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' Recco Hackett-Fairchild does the damage! The net is bulging and Lincoln City FC surge ahead!
  • 63' The Lincoln City FC manager makes a substitution. Ethan Erhahon departs to be replaced by Conor McGrandles.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tom Hamer on 64 minutes.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gethin Jones made 289 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Erik Ring by Jack Moylan on 71 minute.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Tom Bayliss. He replaces Recco Hackett-Fairchild on 72 minute.
  • 73' Poor challenge from Ben House. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lincoln City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 79' Bolton Wanderers FC ring the changes. George Johnston has done his job and it is now time for Kion Etete to step up.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Lincoln City FCFreddie Draper on, James Collins off on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' The referee shows Bolton Wanderers FC player a card on 90.
  • Bolton Wanderers FC will have plenty to reflect on. Lincoln City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC53% Draw23% Bolton Wanderers FC24%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bolton Wanderers FC
47%
Lincoln City FC or Bolton Wanderers FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC39% Draw41% Bolton Wanderers FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Bolton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.