Thursday , 1 October 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 22,422 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Collins 76' 1–0
Y 30' Matt Butcher

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Toughsheet Community Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
  • Assistant 1 Alex James (England)
  • Assistant 2 Matthew Jones
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
01 Apr Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
29 Mar Blackpool FC A 1–2 L
15 Mar Stockport County FC H 0–1 L
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 2–3 L
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
01 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Mansfield Town FC H 1–2 L
22 Mar Crawley Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Mar Lincoln City FC A 0–5 L
11 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Bolton Wanderers FC are looking to make home advantage count against Bristol Rovers FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Will Forrester is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol Rovers FC so far.
  • 15' It looks surprising Bolton Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Ruel Sotiriou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 17' Another substitution for Bolton Wanderers FC to replace Will Forrester by George Thomason on 17 minute.
  • 22' The 37-year-old James Wilson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bolton Wanderers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Poor challenge from Matt Butcher. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 35' Bolton Wanderers FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 40' Bristol Rovers FC come into this ranked 20 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Bolton Wanderers FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bolton Wanderers FC that had 326 games and scored 394 goals.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Dacres-Cogley suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' England international Jordi Osei-Tutu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 64' Bolton Wanderers FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gethin Jones is hanging Josh Dacres-Cogley on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' Bristol Rovers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' A goal from the Wales international Aaron Collins! He fires home on 76 to make it 1-0!
  • 77' Isaac Hutchinson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gatlin O'Donkor on 77 minute.
  • 80' Bristol Rovers FC ring the changes. Taylor Moore has done his job and it is now time for Jack Hunt to step up.
  • 85' Chris Forino-Joseph needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 90' Bristol Rovers FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC52% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC21%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
48%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Bristol Rovers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC33% Draw50% Bristol Rovers FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.