Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Toughsheet Community Stadium 22,422 HT 45' · FT 45'
Aaron Collins 76' 1–0
Y 30' Matt Butcher

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
01 Apr Wigan Athletic FC A 1–0 W
29 Mar Blackpool FC A 1–2 L
15 Mar Stockport County FC H 0–1 L
11 Mar Bristol Rovers FC A 2–3 L
08 Mar Burton Albion FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
01 Apr Birmingham City FC H 1–2 L
29 Mar Mansfield Town FC H 1–2 L
22 Mar Crawley Town FC A 0–1 L
15 Mar Lincoln City FC A 0–5 L
11 Mar Bolton Wanderers FC H 3–2 W

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bolton Wanderers FC to score. At the same time, Bristol Rovers FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Shaqai Forde has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 358 appearances.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 17' The crowd applauds Will Forrester as he leaves the pitch. George Thomason steps in for Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 22' Bolton Wanderers FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matt Butcher on 30.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Bolton Wanderers FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Gatlin O'Donkor has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steven Schumacher will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Bristol Rovers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Connor Taylor suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Bolton Wanderers FC ring the changes. Josh Dacres-Cogley has done his job and it is now time for Gethin Jones to step up.
  • 69' Bolton Wanderers FC is showing some good football. However, Bolton Wanderers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' Over 74 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 76' Magnificent from Aaron Collins! That is 41 goals in 7 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 77' Isaac Hutchinson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gatlin O'Donkor on 77 minute.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Taylor Moore as he leaves the pitch. Jack Hunt steps in for Bristol Rovers FC.
  • 85' The energy levels are beginning to show. Calderon might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC52% Draw27% Bristol Rovers FC21%
Actual: Bolton Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
48%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Bristol Rovers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC33% Draw50% Bristol Rovers FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.