Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 13 Sep 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 22,144 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mathieu Cafaro 6' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Assistant 2
20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Lille OSC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 0–4 L
24 Aug Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
17 Aug AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
17 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–2 L
10 May Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
01 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
28 Aug SK Slavia Praha A 1–2 L
24 Aug Angers SCO H 2–0 W
20 Aug SK Slavia Praha H 2–0 W
17 Aug Stade de Reims A 2–0 W

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Geoffroy Guichard will turn into a battlefield for AS Saint-Étienne and Lille OSC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Benjamin Andre, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Geoffroy Guichard with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 6' Mathieu Cafaro puts AS Saint-Etienne on the lead.
  • 11' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 16' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Lille OSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' Edon Zhegrova needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' Lille OSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 36.
  • 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The travelling Lille OSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 51' Lille OSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Andre. He receives a card.
  • 57' Jonathan David is replacing Mohamed Bayo for the Lille OSC side.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pierre Cornud on 61.
  • 66' AS Saint-Étienne is showing some good football. However, AS Saint-Étienne are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 68' The AS Saint-Etienne manager makes a substitution. Mathieu Cafaro departs to be replaced by Ben Old.
  • 73' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' Another change for AS Saint-Etienne made on 75 minute. Aimen Moueffek leaves to be changed by Florian Tardieu.
  • 76' It is a substitution in Lille OSC team. Gabriel Gudmundsson is replaced by Mitchel Bakker on 76 minute.
  • 81' Ibrahim Sissoko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Stassin on 81 minute.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yunis Abdelhamid made 420 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • Full Time. AS Saint-Étienne beats Lille OSC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Étienne or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Étienne41% Draw32% Lille OSC27%
Actual: AS Saint-Étienne win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
73%
Draw or Lille OSC
59%
AS Saint-Étienne or Lille OSC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Étienne25% Draw56% Lille OSC19%
Actual: AS Saint-Étienne win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
42%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.