Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Lille OSC vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 2 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stade Pierre Mauroy 48,205 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan David pen 45+3' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Lille OSC vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Stade Pierre Mauroy.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Daniele Bindoni
  • Assistant 2 Alberto Tegoni
5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals Real Madrid CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–0 W
28 Sep Le Havre AC A 3–0 W
21 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–3 D
17 Sep Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
13 Sep AS Saint-Étienne A 0–1 L
01 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alavés H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W
17 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
14 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Ayase Ueda 1 G
Alexsandro Ribeiro 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Lille OSC and Real Madrid CF has kicked off!
  • 5' Lille OSC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ayyoub Bouaddi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Lille OSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Stade Pierre Mauroy. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Carlo Ancelotti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Luka Modric has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' The referee calls foul for Endrick. He receives a card.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Ferland Mendy is replaced by Fran Garcia on 46 minute.
  • 48' What a moment for Jonathan David! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 53' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jude Bellingham made 391 appearances and scored 90 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 57' Luka Modric gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Endrick and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' Poor challenge from Eduardo Camavinga. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 64' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Eduardo Camavinga as he leaves the pitch. Arda Guler steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Osame Sahraoui. He replaces Remy Cabella on 72 minute.
  • 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' Jude Bellingham catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
  • 79' Controversy at the stadium! Antonio Rudiger argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 81' The referee has no hesitation. Luka Modric is booked for Real Madrid CF — card on 81.
  • 86' Lille OSC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 88' Lille OSC ring the changes. Mitchel Bakker has done his job and it is now time for Thomas Meunier to step up.
  • 90' Jonathan David was booked on 90.
  • Another three points for Lille OSC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lille OSC44% Draw30% Real Madrid CF26%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
74%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
56%
Lille OSC or Real Madrid CF
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC29% Draw52% Real Madrid CF19%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.