Thursday , 2 July 2026

Lille OSC vs PAOK Thessaloniki FC, Europe 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2025-26
Thu 23 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Lille OSC 1 games · Avg 7.0 goals PAOK Thessaloniki FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct PAOK Thessaloniki FC H 3–4 L
19 Oct FC Nantes A 2–0 W
05 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
02 Oct AS Roma A 1–0 W
28 Sep Olympique Lyonnais H 0–1 L
25 Sep SK Brann H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Lille OSC A 4–3 W
02 Oct RC Celta de Vigo A 1–3 L
24 Sep Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 0–0 D
20 Feb FCSB Bukarest A 0–2 L
13 Feb FCSB Bukarest H 1–2 L
30 Jan Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Lille OSC PAOK Thessaloniki FC
#18 Position #17
12 Points 12
8 Played 8
4 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 2
12 Scored 17
9 Conceded 14
+3 GD +3
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 38%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season
30% Clean Sheets
PAOK Thessaloniki FC this season

Lille OSC are 18th (12 pts). PAOK Thessaloniki FC are 17th (12 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Lille OSC Lineups

PAOK Thessaloniki FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.42 Lille OSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.25 PAOK Thessaloniki FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC42% Draw22% PAOK Thessaloniki FC36%
Actual: PAOK Thessaloniki FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Lille OSC or Draw
65%
Draw or PAOK Thessaloniki FC
58%
Lille OSC or PAOK Thessaloniki FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lille OSC35% Draw35% PAOK Thessaloniki FC30%
Actual: PAOK Thessaloniki FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 3
4%
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%
2 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Lille OSC

Handicap Lille OSC covers Push PAOK Thessaloniki FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 17% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 16% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 11% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
11%
PAOK Thessaloniki FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.