Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leyton Orient FC vs Carlisle United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 15:00 UTC Brisbane Road 8,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 21' Josh Vela
Shaqai Forde 40' 1–1
Shaqai Forde 45+4' 2–1
Ruel Sotiriou 58' 3–1
3–2 90+5' Sean Maguire pen

Overview

Match Preview

Leyton Orient FC vs Carlisle United FC — League One at Brisbane Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Oliver Yates
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Hickman (England)
  • Assistant 2 Dean Treleaven
6 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Carlisle United FC H 3–2 W
27 Jan Reading FC A 1–1 D
20 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–0 W
13 Jan Portsmouth FC A 3–0 W
01 Jan Cambridge United FC A 2–0 W
29 Dec Wycombe Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Leyton Orient FC A 2–3 L
27 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–4 L
16 Jan Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
13 Jan Oxford United FC H 1–3 L
06 Jan Exeter City FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Port Vale FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leyton Orient FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
1/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leyton Orient FC
Jaze Kabia 4 G 2 A
Yusuf Akhamrich 3 G 2 A
Joseph Olowu 1 G
Tony Springett 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Leyton Orient FC and Carlisle United FC is underway.
  • 5' Sean Maguire has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 386 appearances.
  • 10' Leyton Orient FC is showing some good football. However, Leyton Orient FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carlisle United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Jack Diamond makes way for Sean Maguire at the 20 minute mark. A tactical switch from Carlisle United FC.
  • 21' Against the run of play, Josh Vela has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 31' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jon Mellish made 13 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' Leyton Orient FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Carlisle United FC's shape.
  • 40' Brilliant from the ! Shaqai Forde makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 40.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 49' Sensational shot from Shaqai Forde. Leyton Orient FC is back in the lead.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 56' That is a card for Leyton Orient FC. Ethan Galbraith will be fuming at that decision.
  • 58' Against the run of play, Ruel Sotiriou has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 68' England international Darren Pratley has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Idris El Mizouni on 69 minutes.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Leyton Orient FC — Robert Hunt on, George Moncur off on 71 minutes.
  • 73' Sean Grehan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jordan Gibson at the 73 minute mark.
  • 74' The Carlisle United FC bench stirs into life. Fin Back is withdrawn and Daniel Butterworth gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Leyton Orient FC. Theodore Archibald is replaced by Oliver O'Neill.
  • 81' Leyton Orient FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 83' Shaqai Forde was booked on 83.
  • 85' Omar Beckles makes way for Brandon Cooper at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leyton Orient FC.
  • 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Carlisle United FC xG
I would bet for: Leyton Orient FC to win 57% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC57% Draw24% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Leyton Orient FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Leyton Orient FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Carlisle United FC
43%
Leyton Orient FC or Carlisle United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leyton Orient FC37% Draw44% Carlisle United FC19%
Actual: Leyton Orient FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC

Handicap Leyton Orient FC covers Push Carlisle United FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.