Le Mans FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Le Mans FC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 .
- Le Mans FC 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- SC Bastia 34 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thierry Bouille (France)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Saint-Étienne | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | AS Nancy-Lorraine | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Montpellier HSC | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade de Reims | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Pau FC | 12 | 20 |
| 6 | Dijon Football Cote d'Or | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | FC Metz | 12 | 17 |
| 8 | Red Star FC | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Annecy | 12 | 16 |
| 10 | USL Dunkerque | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | En Avant Guingamp | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | US Boulogne Côte d'Opale | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rodez Aveyron Football | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | FC Nantes | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot 63 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Sochaux-Montbeliard | 12 | 11 |
| 17 | Grenoble Foot 38 | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC | 12 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | SC Bastia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Aug | En Avant Guingamp | A | 3–3 | D |
| 06 Mar | FC Chambly Oise | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | En Avant Guingamp | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Feb | AC Ajaccio | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug | Le Mans FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Aug | Pau FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | SM Caen | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | En Avant Guingamp | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Apr | Grenoble Foot 38 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | Paris FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Le Mans FC is hosting SC Bastia for another epic battle.
- SC Bastia will have plenty to reflect on. Le Mans FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Le Mans FC Lineups
SC Bastia Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Le Mans FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25
Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78
SC Bastia xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Le Mans FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Le Mans FC or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
Le Mans FC or SC Bastia
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%
Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC
| Handicap | Le Mans FC covers | Push | SC Bastia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 15% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.