Sunday , 16 August 2026

Le Mans FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2025-26
1 0
Full Time
Fri 22 Aug 2025 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Le Mans FC vs SC BastiaLigue 2 .

Match Details

  • Referee Thierry Bouille (France)

Head-to-Head

1
Le Mans FC 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals SC Bastia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug SC Bastia H 1–0 W
18 Aug Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
09 Aug En Avant Guingamp A 3–3 D
06 Mar FC Chambly Oise A 2–2 D
28 Feb En Avant Guingamp H 2–1 W
21 Feb AC Ajaccio A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Le Mans FC A 0–1 L
15 Aug Pau FC H 1–1 D
10 May SM Caen H 2–1 W
02 May En Avant Guingamp A 2–2 D
25 Apr Grenoble Foot 38 H 2–3 L
19 Apr Paris FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Le Mans FC Lineups

SC Bastia Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.25 Le Mans FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC49% Draw30% SC Bastia21%
Actual: Le Mans FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Le Mans FC or Draw
79%
Draw or SC Bastia
51%
Le Mans FC or SC Bastia
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Le Mans FC31% Draw54% SC Bastia15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Le Mans FC

Handicap Le Mans FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Le Mans FC keeps clean sheet
46%
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.